Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Mario Rigamonti (Brescia)

Referee: Di Marco D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Brescia		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.16	3.25	3.3
	2.1	3.31	3.48	Watch
	2.15	3.25	3.4
	2.11	3.48	3.47	Watch
	2.16	3.25	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (2.11)	3.32 ↑ (3.3)	3.39 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Brescia
44.2%

Draw
28.2%

Mantova
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28.3%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

27.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brescia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brescia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Brescia - Mantova Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brescia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Brescia (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezzerini L. (G) 32. Papetti A. 25. Bisoli D. (C) 5. Calvani G. 24. Dickmann L. 26. Bertagnoli M. 6. Verreth M. 20. Nuamah P. 19. Corrado N. 11. Moncini G. 29. Borrelli G.	1. Festa M. (G) 17. Radaelli N. 13. Brignani F. 29. Cella S. 6. Bani C. 21. Trimboli S. 8. Burrai S. (C) 14. Galuppini F. 19. Mancuso L. 11. Fiori A. 7. Mensah D.
Substitutes
22. Andrenacci L. (G) 12. Avella M. (G) 9. Bianchi F. 8. Bjarnason B. 16. D'Andrea L. 23. Galazzi N. 18. Jallow A. 7. Juric A. 14. Maucci G. 33. Muca Z.	70. Aramu M. 24. Artioli F. 9. Debenedetti A. 87. De Maio S. 27. Maggioni T. 28. Muroni M. 36. Paoletti F. 5. Redolfi A. 18. Ruocco F. 4. Solini M. 12. Sonzogni L. (G) 10. Wieser D.
Coaches
Maran R.	Possanzini D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Borrelli G. ⚽, Corrado N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', Verreth M. 🟨,
50', 1 - 1, Brignani F. ⚽, Fiori A. (A),
55', Calvani G. 🟨,
63', Bertagnoli M. ↓, Galazzi N. ↑,
64', Burrai S. 🟨,
66', Galuppini F. ↓, Muroni M. ↑,
66', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
70', Moncini G. ↓, Juric A. ↑,
70', Nuamah P. ↓, D'Andrea L. ↑,
71', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
84', Lezzerini L. 🟨,
85', Mancuso L. (Pen),
87', Dickmann L. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
87', Bisoli D. ↓, Bjarnason B. ↑,
88', Mancuso L. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
88', Burrai S. ↓, Artioli F. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 2, Radaelli N. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Recent matches Brescia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mantova is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Brescia will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Brescia: Adorni D. (Yellow Cards) Besaggio M. (Yellow Cards) Fogliata R. (Injury)

There will not play in Mantova: Burrai S. (Yellow Cards) Fedel G. (Inactive) Muroni M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Brescia: Bjarnason B. (Inactive) Galazzi N. (Injury) Olzer G. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Mantova: Bani C. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brescia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:6 (average 1.4:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Brescia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brescia Calcio
Italian Serie B
28.03.25	Spezia - Brescia	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Frosinone - Brescia	2:1 ✺
08.03.25	Brescia - Cesena	1:1 ✺
02.03.25	Palermo - Brescia	1:0 ✺
23.02.25	Brescia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WLTLT
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie B
29.03.25	Mantova - Südtirol-Alto Adige	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Pisa - Mantova	3:1 ✺
08.03.25	Mantova - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Frosinone - Mantova	2:1 ✺
22.02.25	Mantova - Bari	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
06.10.24	Mantova - Brescia	1:1
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Mantova - Brescia	3:0
01.08.21	Brescia - Mantova	1:0
04.09.19	Mantova - Brescia	1:5
03.08.13	Mantova - Brescia	1:0

Upcoming Matches