Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 30

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Sassuolo

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.8	Watch
	4.2	3.4	1.85
	4.7	3.35	1.79	Watch
	4.8	3.55	1.9
	5.14	3.27	1.82	Watch
	4	3.3	1.85
	4.83	3.38	1.82	Watch
	4.7	3.35	1.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (4.12)	3.38 ↑ (3.36)	1.83 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
20.4%

Draw
28%

Sassuolo
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

28%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27.9%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Sassuolo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sassuolo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.6%	5.6%	88.9%

Cittadella - Sassuolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Sassuolo will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 8. Amatucci F. 16. Vita A. 37. Palmieri R. 32. Masciangelo E. 21. Rabbi S. 31. Okwonkwo O.	31. Moldovan H. (G) 23. Toljan J. 19. Romagna F. 20. Lovato M. 3. Doig J. 11. Boloca D. 36. Mazzitelli L. 10. Berardi D. 7. Volpato C. 77. Pierini N. 9. Mulattieri S.
Substitutes
13. Capradossi E. 5. Casolari F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 78. Maniero L. (G) 6. Matino E. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A. 17. Tronchin S. 20. Voltan D.	33. Bonifazi K. 8. Ghion A. 40. Iannoni E. 35. Lipani L. 2. Missori F. 24. Moro L. 80. Muharemovic T. 14. Obiang P. 26. Odenthal C. 17. Paz Y. 12. Satalino G. (G) 99. Verdi S.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Grosso F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mulattieri S. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
22', Mazzitelli L. ↓, Ghion A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 0 - 2, Berardi D. ⚽, Volpato C. (A),
51', Doig J. 🟨,
54', Salvi A. 🟨,
59', Rabbi S. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
59', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
70', Palmieri R. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
70', Vita A. ↓, Tronchin S. ↑,
72', Volpato C. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,
72', Mulattieri S. ↓, Moro L. ↑,
72', Pierini N. ↓, Lipani L. ↑,
83', Tronchin S. 🟨,
88', Berardi D. ↓, Muharemovic T. ↑,
90', 1 - 2, Tronchin S. ⚽,
90+2', Pavan N. 🟨,
90+2', Salvi A. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
90+6', Moro L. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1.

Recent matches Cittadella is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sassuolo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Sassuolo is a favorite.

There will not play in Cittadella: Capradossi E. (Ankle Injury) Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Diaw D. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Inactive) Negro S. (Injury)

There will not play in Sassuolo: Lauriente A. (Yellow Cards) Skjellerup L. (Injury) Thorstvedt K. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sassuolo: Odenthal C. (Inactive) Verdi S. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:13 (average 0.7:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
09.03.25	Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:5 ✺
01.03.25	Juve Stabia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cittadella - Modena	0:2 ✺
14.02.25	Catanzaro - Cittadella	1:0 ✺
08.02.25	Pisa - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 LWLLW
- US Sassuolo
Italian Serie B
09.03.25	Sassuolo - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sassuolo - Pisa	1:0 ✺
21.02.25	Sampdoria - Sassuolo	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Sassuolo - Brescia	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Mantova - Sassuolo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.10.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	6:1
Coppa Italia
09.08.24	Sassuolo - Cittadella	2:1
21.08.14	Sassuolo - Cittadella	4:1
Italian Serie B
16.03.13	Sassuolo - Cittadella	1:0
20.10.12	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:0
31.01.12	Cittadella - Sassuolo	N/A

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