Match Info

Serie B - Round 32

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Pairetto L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.75	3.1	2.65
	2.73	3.07	2.68	Watch
	2.7	3	2.7
	2.64	3.22	2.71	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.73)	3.11 ↑ (2.99)	2.67 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
34.7%

Draw
30.1%

Carrarese
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

31.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.7%

30.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Carrarese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	70%	10%

Cittadella - Carrarese Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Carrarese will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carrarese (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 13. Capradossi E. 26. Pavan N. 19. D'Alessio F. 16. Vita A. (C) 17. Tronchin S. 37. Palmieri R. 32. Masciangelo E. 31. Okwonkwo O. 21. Rabbi S.	98. Fiorillo V. (G) 4. Illanes J. 34. Guarino G. 3. Imperiale M. (C) 72. Zanon S. 9. Cherubini L. 17. Zuelli E. 20. Giovane S. 11. Cicconi M. 32. Finotto M. 10. Milanese T.
Substitutes
8. Amatucci F. 45. Cardinali M. (G) 5. Casolari F. 11. Desogus J. 9. Diaw D. 78. Maniero L. (G) 6. Matino E. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 28. Rizza A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.	13. Bouah D. 82. Capezzi L. 16. Cavion M. 47. Fontanarosa A. 28. Manzari G. 44. Mazzi G. (G) 5. Melegoni F. 6. Oliana F. 30. Ravaglia N. (G) 18. Schiavi N. 19. Shpendi S. 92. Torregrossa E.
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	Calabro A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Capradossi E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Rabbi S. ↓, Diaw D. ↑,
59', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
60', Cherubini L. ↓, Melegoni F. ↑,
60', Tronchin S. ↓, Amatucci F. ↑,
61', Milanese T. ↓, Manzari G. ↑,
74', Cicconi M. ↓, Bouah D. ↑,
74', Finotto M. ↓, Shpendi S. ↑,
79', Vita A. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
81', Giovane S. ↓, Capezzi L. ↑,
89', D'Alessio F. ↓, Casolari F. ↑,
90+1', Manzari G. 🟨,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 11).

Cittadella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Carrarese is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Cecchetto A. (Inactive) Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury)

There will not play in Carrarese: Bleve M. (Knock) Coppolaro M. (Knee Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
29.03.25	Cremonese - Cittadella	2:2 ✺
15.03.25	Cittadella - Sassuolo	1:2 ✺
09.03.25	Cittadella - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:5 ✺
01.03.25	Juve Stabia - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Cittadella - Modena	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 TLLWL
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
30.03.25	Carrarese - Bari	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
08.03.25	Carrarese - Frosinone	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Carrarese - Cremonese	2:2 ✺
22.02.25	Reggiana - Carrarese	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.10.24	Carrarese - Cittadella	3:0
Coppa Italia
12.08.12	Cittadella - Carrarese	2:0

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