Match Info

Date: 21 November 2020, Saturday


	Cittadella		Empoli

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.3	2.8	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.44	3	2.9
	2.57	3.2	3.07
	2.5	3	3.1
	2.54	3.13	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.49)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
37.9%

Draw
30.3%

Empoli
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.3%

22%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Cittadella have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Empoli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Cittadella that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Empoli than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Empoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Cittadella - Empoli Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion to Serie B (Play Offs: Quartertofinals) and 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie A).

Cittadella has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a small chance of promoted (14%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).

Empoli has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (51%), has a chance of promoted (39%), has a chance of win league (16%).

Cittadella is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Empoli is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
08.11.20	Pescara - Cittadella	3:1 ✺
31.10.20	Cittadella - Monza	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Cittadella - Spezia	0:2 ✺
Italian Serie B
20.10.20	Cittadella - Pordenone	2:0 ✺
17.10.20	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWT
- FC Empoli
Italian Serie B
07.11.20	Empoli - Reggina	3:0 ✺
01.11.20	Venezia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Benevento - Empoli	2:4 ✺
Italian Serie B
23.10.20	Empoli - Pisa	3:1 ✺
20.10.20	Empoli - SPAL	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.02.20	Cittadella - Empoli	1:2
21.09.19	Empoli - Cittadella	1:0
Coppa Italia
12.08.18	Empoli - Cittadella	0:3
Italian Serie B
24.02.18	Cittadella - Empoli	1:1
23.09.17	Empoli - Cittadella	0:1
25.05.14	Cittadella - Empoli	2:2
26.12.13	Empoli - Cittadella	0:1

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