The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 35.1%
Draw 30.8%
Monza 34.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.1%
31.3%
32.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
22.7%
23.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cittadella, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Monza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cittadella - Monza Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Cittadella has the most likely position - 8 (15.19%), has project points - 59, has currently - 42, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (55%), has a small chance of promoted (8%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Monza has the most likely position - 5 (15.43%), has project points - 63, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (77%), has a chance of promoted (24%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
This event has quality39, importance36, match rating37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0.
Cittadella is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Monza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 6 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.
Watch
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