Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 24

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Ayroldi G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Cittadella		Spezia

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.1	1.91	Watch
	4.6	3.1	1.88
	4.2	3.1	1.95	Watch
	4.88	3.15	1.95
	4.75	3.1	1.93	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2.15
	4.66	3.25	1.89	Watch
	4.2	3.1	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.48 ↑ (3.65)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	1.95 ↓ (2.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
21.1%

Draw
30.5%

Spezia
48.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

29%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.8%

30.2%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Spezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	50%	37.5%

Cittadella - Spezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Spezia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
78. Maniero L. (G) 2. Salvi A. 13. Capradossi E. 24. Carissoni L. 19. D'Alessio F. 8. Amatucci F. 5. Casolari F. 17. Tronchin S. 32. Masciangelo E. 16. Vita A. 31. Okwonkwo O.	23. Chichizola L. (G) 2. Wisniewski P. 55. Hristov P. 37. Mateju A. 7. Elia S. 32. Vignali L. 5. Esposito Sa. 25. Bandinelli F. 13. Reca A. 20. Di Serio G. 17. Colak A.
Substitutes
45. Cardinali M. (G) 64. Cecchetto A. 11. Desogus J. 6. Matino E. 7. Pandolfi L. 35. Piccinini S. 21. Rabbi S. 28. Rizza A. 74. Sanogo A. 18. Tessiore A. 20. Voltan D.	77. Bertola N. 36. Candelari P. 29. Cassata F. 6. Degli Innocenti D. 82. Djankpata H. 11. Falcinelli D. 65. Giorgeschi S. 66. Gori S. (G) 80. Kouda R. 10. Lapadula G. 12. Mascardi D. (G)
Coaches
Dal Canto A.	D'Angelo L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Casolari F. 🟨,
13', Bandinelli F. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Vignali L. ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. (Own goal),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Casolari F. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
46', Tronchin S. ↓, Pandolfi L. ↑,
46', Vignali L. ↓, Cassata F. ↑,
64', Di Serio G. ↓, Lapadula G. ↑,
64', Colak A. ↓, Falcinelli D. ↑,
66', D'Alessio F. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
75', Carissoni L. 🟨,
76', Okwonkwo O. ↓, Rabbi S. ↑,
78', Bandinelli F. ↓, Degli Innocenti D. ↑,
86', Elia S. ↓, Bertola N. ↑,
90+5', Amatucci F. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 1.

Cittadella is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Spezia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Spezia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Spezia will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Pavan N. (Injury) Voltan D. (Injury)

There will not play in Spezia: Esposito F. (Yellow Cards) Nagy A. (Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Djibril A. (Injury) Negro S. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 17:27 (average 0.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 8:14 (average 0.9:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
25.01.25	Nuova Cosenza - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
18.01.25	Cittadella - Mantova	1:2 ✺
12.01.25	Cesena - Cittadella	0:0 ✺
29.12.24	Cittadella - Palermo	2:1 ✺
26.12.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 WLTWW
- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
24.01.25	Spezia - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Carrarese - Spezia	0:4 ✺
12.01.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Bari - Spezia	2:0 ✺
26.12.24	Spezia - Mantova	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
08.12.24	Spezia - Cittadella	5:0
17.02.24	Spezia - Cittadella	4:2
23.12.23	Cittadella - Spezia	4:1
Coppa Italia
28.10.20	Cittadella - Spezia	0:2
Italian Serie B
19.01.20	Spezia - Cittadella	1:1
24.08.19	Cittadella - Spezia	0:3
17.05.19	Spezia - Cittadella	1:2

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