The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cittadella 38%
Draw 28.8%
Trento 33.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.8%
27.2%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.9%
27.3%
30.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trento than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Cittadella - Trento Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Saro G. (G) 8. Amatucci F. 7. Anastasia E. 19. D'Alessio F. 91. Falcinelli D. 32. Ghezzi A. 17. Perretta G. 21. Rabbi S. 55. Redolfi A. 16. Vita A. (C) 36. Zilio A.
1. Barlocco S. (G) 23. Aucelli C. 24. Dalmonte N. 10. Giannotti P. (C) 21. Ladisa M. 44. Maffei M. 39. Miranda K. 11. Pellegrini J. 16. Rigione M. 5. Sangalli M. 27. Triacca D.
Substitutes
5. Barberis A. 90. Bunino C. 10. Casolari F. 99. Castelli D. 25. Cecchetto A. 14. Crialese C. 44. Gatti R. 40. Gobbato M. 77. Ignatov E. 67. Lotto N. (G) 28. Rizza A. 2. Salvi A. 27. Stronati R.
20. Benedetti G. 7. Capone C. 71. Chinetti F. 38. Corallo C. 28. Corradi C. 12. Costantini F. (G) 9. Ebone T. 14. Fossati M. 25. Mehic A. 19. Muca Z. 22. Tommasi M. (G) 4. Trainotti A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Miranda K. 🟥,
12', Triacca D. ↓, Corradi C. ↑,
16', Sangalli M. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Dalmonte N. ⚽,
43', Rigione M. 🟨,
45', Maffei M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Zilio A. ↓, Rizza A. ↑,
46', Redolfi A. ↓, Salvi A. ↑,
58', Amatucci F. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Giannotti P. ⚽,
61', D'Alessio F. ↓, Bunino C. ↑,
71', Sangalli M. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
71', Dalmonte N. ↓, Capone C. ↑,
72', Falcinelli D. ↓, Castelli D. ↑,
77', 1 - 2, Bunino C. ⚽,
80', Giannotti P. ↓, Benedetti G. ↑,
81', Maffei M. ↓, Muca Z. ↑,
82', Vita A. ↓, Barberis A. ↑,
90+1', Barlocco S. 🟨,
90+2', 1 - 3, Pellegrini J. ⚽,
90+2', Pellegrini J. 🟨,
90+3', Castelli D. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Trento may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:5. (average 3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Cittadella won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 18:4. (average 3.6:0.8).