The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trento 62.4%
Draw 23%
Virtus Verona 14.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.7%
22.9%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.4%
21.6%
13.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trento has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Virtus Verona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Virtus Verona than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Trento - Virtus Verona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 27. Triacca D. 4. Trainotti A. (C) 28. Corradi C. 44. Maffei M. 23. Aucelli C. 5. Sangalli M. 20. Benedetti G. 71. Chinetti F. 11. Pellegrini J. 7. Capone C.
22. Sibi S. (G) 6. Daffara M. 23. Toffanin F. 95. Munaretti L. 29. Saiani F. 5. Fanini F. 30. Gatti C. 74. Lerco S. 10. Zarpellon L. 75. Bassi M. 44. Pagliuca M.
Substitutes
36. Candelari P. 38. Corallo C. 12. Costantini F. (G) 9. Ebone T. 14. Fossati M. 10. Giannotti P. 21. Ladisa M. 39. Miranda K. 16. Rigione M. 22. Tommasi M. (G)
2. Alfonso E. (G) 7. Amadio M. 8. Caia F. 18. Cernigoi I. 3. Cielo T. 47. Cuel E. 70. Devoti A. 14. Di Virgilio M. 99. Fabbro M. 85. Fiori N. 20. Fiorin G. 39. Mancini T. 11. Mastour H. 28. Patane N. 12. Scardigno N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Toffanin F. 🟨,
21', Aucelli C. ↓, Candelari P. ↑,
29', Corradi C. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Candelari P. ⚽,
44', Corradi C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Toffanin F. ↓, Patane N. ↑,
55', Chinetti F. ↓, Miranda K. ↑,
55', Sangalli M. ↓, Fossati M. ↑,
58', Pagliuca M. ↓, Mancini T. ↑,
58', Lerco S. ↓, Caia F. ↑,
67', Fanini F. ↓, Cuel E. ↑,
80', Gatti C. ↓, Mastour H. ↑,
82', Benedetti G. ↓, Giannotti P. ↑,
82', Pellegrini J. ↓, Ebone T. ↑,
90+2', Munaretti L. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trento won 3.
Trento is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Virtus Verona is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
In this match, Trento is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Trento will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Trento won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).