The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trento 57.1%
Draw 25.4%
Alcione 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.1%
26.3%
17.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.5%
25.2%
17%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
Alcione has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trento than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alcione than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Trento - Alcione Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Barlocco S. (G) 20. Benedetti G. 7. Capone C. 28. Corradi C. 24. Dalmonte N. 10. Giannotti P. (C) 44. Maffei M. 11. Pellegrini J. 16. Rigione M. 5. Sangalli M. 27. Triacca D.
22. Agazzi F. (G) 3. Chierichetti P. 33. Invernizzi A. 16. Lanzi J. 5. Miculi A. 8. Muroni M. 25. Pirola F. 10. Pitou J. 9. Plescia V. 73. Scuderi G. 32. Tordini M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', Pellegrini J. 🟨,
59', Tordini M. ↓, Bright K. ↑,
63', Pellegrini J. ↓, Ebone T. ↑,
63', Benedetti G. ↓, Aucelli C. ↑,
71', Plescia V. ↓, Marconi M. ↑,
71', Invernizzi A. ↓, Renault G. ↑,
73', Dalmonte N. ↓, Chinetti F. ↑,
76', Corradi C. 🟨,
76', 🟨,
81', Pitou J. ↓, Morselli F. ↑,
81', Pirola F. ↓, Giorgeschi S. ↑,
81', Sangalli M. ↓, Fossati M. ↑,
81', Giannotti P. ↓, Mehic A. ↑,
88', 1 - 0, Capone C. (Penalty Awarded),
90+4', Scuderi G. 🟥,
90+7', 🟨,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Alcione may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Trento is a strong favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Trento won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Trento won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.