Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 4

Date: 3 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato (Cittadella)

Referee: Monaldi M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	Nova Sports


	Cittadella		Venezia

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.25	2.8	Watch
	2.6	3	2.85
	2.66	3.22	2.93
	2.45	2.8	2.75
	2.55	3.24	2.81	Watch
	2.55	3.15	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (2.65)	3.11 ↑ (3.1)	2.82 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie B with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Cittadella
36.6%

Draw
30.2%

Venezia
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

29.9%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

29.8%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cittadella has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

Cittadella - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Cittadella will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Venezia will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
36. Kastrati E. (G) 2. Salvi A. 26. Pavan N. 15. Frare D. 24. Carissoni L. 20. Carriero G. 23. Branca S. (C) 8. Amatucci F. 18. Tessiore A. 11. Pittarello F. 7. Pandolfi L.	1. Joronen J. (G) 4. Idzes J. 15. Altare G. 33. Sverko M. 27. Candela A. 24. Lella N. 8. Tessmann T. 38. Andersen M. K. 19. Bjarkason B. 20. Pohjanpalo J. 10. Pierini N.
Substitutes
4. Angeli M. 10. Cassano C. 27. Danzi A. 98. Giraudo F. 17. Kornvig E. 9. Magrassi A. 32. Maistrello T. 77. Maniero L. (G) 5. Mastrantonio V. 28. Rizza A. 21. Saggionetto N. 16. Vita A.	12. Bruno (G) 6. Busio G. 21. Cheryshev D. 25. Dembele A. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 17. Johnsen D. 13. Modolo M. 31. Ullmann M. 7. Zampano F.
Coaches
Gorini E.	Vanoli P.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 0.

Cittadella is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Venezia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Cittadella have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Cittadella won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Cittadella won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
30.08.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1 ✺
26.08.23	Parma - Cittadella	2:0 ✺
20.08.23	Cittadella - Reggiana	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
12.08.23	Empoli - Cittadella	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.08.23	Luparense - Cittadella	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWWW
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
30.08.23	Sampdoria - Venezia	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Venezia - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
20.08.23	Venezia - Como	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
14.08.23	Spezia - Venezia	3:2 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.23	NEC Nijmegen - Venezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
28.01.23	Venezia - Cittadella	1:1
28.08.22	Cittadella - Venezia	1:1
27.05.21	Venezia - Cittadella	1:1
23.05.21	Cittadella - Venezia	0:1
10.05.21	Cittadella - Venezia	1:1
23.01.21	Venezia - Cittadella	1:0
27.07.20	Cittadella - Venezia	1:0

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