Match Info

ITALY: Serie A - Round 15

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo (Venice) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Doveri D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Albania	18:00	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	14:00	Disney+
Asia	—	STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY, STARZPLAY
Australia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Austria	18:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	21:00	CBC Sport
Belgium	18:00	DAZN 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:00	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV
Brazil	14:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	19:00	Max Sport 3
Chile	14:00	Disney+
China	01:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:00	Disney+
Croatia	18:00	Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	18:00	Sport 1
Denmark	18:00	TV2 Play
Finland	19:00	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
Germany	18:00	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	19:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	01:00	M Plus Live
Hungary	18:00	Match 4, Net4+
India	22:30	GXR World
Indonesia	00:00	Vidio
Italy	18:00	DAZN 2, DAZN Italia, NOW TV, Sky Calcio 1, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	02:00	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	18:00	ART Motion Sport 1, ART Motion Sport 2, ART Sport 2
Macao	01:00	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malta	18:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	11:00	Disney+, ESPN
Montenegro	18:00	Arena Sport 9
New Zealand	06:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	18:00	VG+
Peru	12:00	Disney+
Poland	18:00	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	17:00	Sport TV3
Romania	19:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	20:00	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi Arabia	20:00	STC TV
Spain	18:00	DAZN Espana
Sweden	18:00	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 4
Switzerland	18:00	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	20:00	S Sport+
Ukraine	19:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United Arab Emirates	21:00	Abu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
Uruguay	14:00	Disney+
Usa	12:00	CBS, Paramount+
Venezuela	13:00	Disney+
Vietnam	00:00	ON Football, ON Plus
International	17:00	Disney+, Onefootball, Prima+ app


	Venezia		Como

	1	X	2
	2.88	3	2.7	Watch
	2.8	3.1	2.6
	2.88	3.15	2.58	Watch
	2.94	3.23	2.65
	2.9	3.19	2.66	Watch
	2.7	3.4	2.5
	2.98	3.26	2.68	Watch
	2.9	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.73)	3.19 ↓ (3.4)	2.62 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and Italian Serie A with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: CBSSN

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Current Win Probability

Venezia
33.4%

Draw
30%

Como
36.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

28.1%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.3%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Venezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Como has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

The ML Model estimate for Como aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	42.1%	15.8%

Venezia - Como Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Como will win (votes: 3 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 38.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 21.4% – 67.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Stankovic F. (G) 4. Idzes J. 30. Svoboda M. 15. Altare G. 27. Candela A. 97. Doumbia I. 14. Nicolussi Caviglia H. 7. Zampano F. 11. Oristanio G. 6. Busio G. 20. Pohjanpalo J. (C)	25. Reina P. (C) 77. Van der Brempt I. 5. Goldaniga E. 2. Kempf M. O. 3. Sala M. 33. Da Cunha L. 26. Engelhardt Y. 7. Strefezza G. 79. Paz N. 16. Fadera A. 11. Belotti A.
Substitutes
38. Andersen M. K. 19. Bjarkason B. 12. Bruno (G) 79. Carboni F. 22. Crnigoj D. 80. El Haddad S. 77. Ellertsson M. E. 23. Grandi M. (G) 9. Gytkjaer C. 1. Joronen J. (G) 25. Schingtienne J. 33. Sverko M. 10. Yeboah J.	1. Audero E. (G) 93. Barba F. 8. Baselli D. 27. Braunoder M. 17. Cerri A. 10. Cutrone P. 13. Dossena A. 9. Gabrielloni A. 6. Iovine A. 15. Jack F. 14. Jasim A. 4. Kone B. L. 36. Mazzitelli L. 90. Verdi S.
Coaches
Di Francesco E.	Fabregas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Pohjanpalo J. ⚽, Nicolussi Caviglia H. (A),
39', Nicolussi Caviglia H. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
50', 1 - 1, Candela A. (Own goal),
51', Fabregas C. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Belotti A. ⚽, Van der Brempt I. (A),
65', Altare G. ↓, Sverko M. ↑,
65', Candela A. ↓, Ellertsson M. E. ↑,
65', Doumbia I. ↓, Andersen M. K. ↑,
68', Fadera A. ↓, Mazzitelli L. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Oristanio G. ⚽,
76', Sala M. 🟨,
77', Belotti A. ↓, Cutrone P. ↑,
79', Sala M. ↓, Iovine A. ↑,
85', Busio G. ↓, Crnigoj D. ↑,
85', Oristanio G. ↓, Yeboah J. ↑,
86', Strefezza G. ↓, Gabrielloni A. ↑,
86', Da Cunha L. ↓, Verdi S. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 3.

The competitors look crappy now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Venezia: Duncan A. (Muscle Injury) Zampano F. (Broken Hand)

There will not play in Como: Jasim A. (Ankle Injury) Roberto S. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Venezia: Yeboah J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Como: Mazzitelli L. (Injury) Perrone M. (Injury)

Last 9 head-to-head matches Venezia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 11:13 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Venezia FC
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Bologna - Venezia	3:0 ✺
25.11.24	Venezia - Lecce	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Venezia - Parma	1:2 ✺
03.11.24	Inter Milan - Venezia	1:0 ✺
30.10.24	Venezia - Udinese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLLW
- Calcio Como
Italian Serie A
30.11.24	Como - Monza	1:1 ✺
24.11.24	Como - Fiorentina	0:2 ✺
07.11.24	Genoa - Como	1:1 ✺
04.11.24	Empoli - Como	1:0 ✺
31.10.24	Como - Lazio	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
03.03.24	Como - Venezia	2:1
20.08.23	Venezia - Como	3:0
01.04.23	Venezia - Como	3:2
06.11.22	Como - Venezia	1:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
08.02.17	Como - Venezia	1:2 ET
Italian Serie C Group A
07.02.15	Venezia - Como	0:0
21.09.14	Como - Venezia	3:0

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