Match Info

Serie B - Round 37

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco (La Spezia)

Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Spezia		Venezia

	1	X	2
	4.75	4.2	1.57	Watch
	4.2	3.75	1.77
	4.75	4.05	1.6	Watch
	5.13	4.28	1.65
	4.94	4.44	1.57	Watch
	4.75	3.9	1.62
	5.07	4.26	1.61	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.8 ↑ (4.13)	4.13 ↑ (3.72)	1.63 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Spezia
19.6%

Draw
22.8%

Venezia
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.6%

25%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

24.4%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Spezia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Venezia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spezia than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.8%	11.8%	76.5%

Spezia - Venezia Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Spezia will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). Venezia will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 56.3% – 96.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Venezia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Mascardi D. (G) 32. Vignali L. (C) 37. Mateju A. 94. Bonfanti G. 17. Sernicola L. 5. Valoti M. 60. Romano A. 25. Bandinelli F. 31. Aurelio G. 20. Di Serio G. 10. Lapadula G.	1. Stankovic F. (G) 3. Schingtienne J. 30. Svoboda M. (C) 4. Franjic B. 18. Hainaut A. 71. Perez K. 6. Busio G. 8. Doumbia I. 5. Haps R. 10. Yeboah J. 9. Adorante A.
Substitutes
70. Adamo E. 9. Artistico G. 6. Bellemo A. 24. Bertoncini A. 11. Beruatto P. 34. Comotto C. 85. Guidi S. (G) 16. Loria L. (G) 8. Nagy A. 4. Ruggero M. 90. Skjellerup L. 99. Vlahovic V.	19. Bjarkason B. 37. Bohinen E. 80. Casas A. 21. Compagnon M. 28. Dagasso M. 32. Duncan A. 2. Korac S. 29. Lauberbach L. 24. Lella N. 22. Plizzari A. (G) 20. Sagrado R. 16. Venturi M.
Coaches
D'Angelo L.	Stroppa G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', Valoti M. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Yeboah J. ⚽, Doumbia I. (A),
14', Adorante A. 🟨,
32', Yeboah J. (Penalty Awarded),
43', Vignali L. 🟨,
45+2', Bandinelli F. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Adorante A. ↓, Casas A. ↑,
58', Vignali L. ↓, Comotto C. ↑,
65', Di Serio G. ↓, Artistico G. ↑,
66', Aurelio G. ↓, Beruatto P. ↑,
67', Haps R. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
68', Perez K. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
70', 0 - 2, Sagrado R. ⚽, Svoboda M. (A),
73', 1 - 2, Valoti M. ⚽, Mateju A. (A),
80', Romano A. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
80', Valoti M. ↓, Skjellerup L. ↑,
81', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
87', Busio G. 🟨,
90', 2 - 2, Artistico G. ⚽, Bonfanti G. (A),
90+2', Nagy A. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 3.

Recent form of Spezia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Venezia is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Venezia is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Spezia: Cassata F. (Muscle Injury) Hristov P. (Yellow Cards) Sarr M. (Ankle Injury) Zurkowski S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Venezia: Farji M. (Inactive) Sverko M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Spezia: Artistico G. (Inactive) Vlahovic V. (Inactive)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Spezia won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:11. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Spezia won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Spezia Calcio
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Catanzaro - Spezia	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Spezia - Südtirol-Alto Adige	6:1 ✺
12.04.26	Spezia - Mantova	0:2 ✺
06.04.26	Carrarese - Spezia	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Juve Stabia - Spezia	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLL
- Venezia FC
Italian Serie B
25.04.26	Venezia - Empoli	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Bari - Venezia	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Virtus Entella - Venezia	1:1 ✺
06.04.26	Venezia - Juve Stabia	3:1 ✺
21.03.26	Monza - Venezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
27.09.25	Venezia - Spezia	2:0
10.05.24	Spezia - Venezia	2:1
15.09.23	Venezia - Spezia	1:0
Coppa Italia
14.08.23	Spezia - Venezia	3:2 penalties
Italian Serie A
02.04.22	Spezia - Venezia	1:0
19.09.21	Venezia - Spezia	1:2
Italian Serie B
17.07.20	Spezia - Venezia	0:1

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