Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Round 14

Date: 24 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadio San Nicola (Bari)

Referee: Bonacina K. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia


	Bari		Cittadella

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.5	4.5	Watch
	1.8	3.3	4.6
	1.8	3.4	4.5	Watch
	1.81	3.38	5.26
	1.8	3.42	4.96	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4
	1.81	3.52	4.52	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)	3.43 ↑ (3.42)	4.61 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bari
52.1%

Draw
27.5%

Cittadella
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

27.3%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Cittadella has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bari than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cittadella than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.2%	15.8%	0%

Bari - Cittadella Predictions

Users Predictions: Bari will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Radunovic B. (G) 25. Pucino R. 44. Simic L. 3. Mantovani V. 7. Oliveri A. 17. Maiello R. 4. Maita M. (C) 93. Dorval M. 20. Sibilli G. 15. Lasagna K. 9. Novakovich A.	36. Kastrati E. (G) 64. Cecchetto A. 4. Angeli M. 35. Piccinini S. 24. Carissoni L. 8. Amatucci F. 17. Tronchin S. 23. Branca S. (C) 32. Masciangelo E. 7. Pandolfi L. 21. Rabbi S.
Substitutes
10. Bellomo N. 19. Falletti C. 27. Favasuli C. 99. Favilli A. 28. Lella N. 18. Manzari G. 55. Obaretin N. 22. Pissardo M. (G) 94. Saco C. 11. Sgarbi L. 13. Tripaldelli A.	10. Cassano C. 19. D'Alessio F. 11. Desogus J. 29. Djibril A. 30. Negro S. 91. Ravasio M. 28. Rizza A. 22. Scquizzato E. (G) 20. Voltan D.
Coaches
Longo M.	Dal Canto A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Lasagna K. ⚽, Sibilli G. (A),
38', Lasagna K. ↓, Favilli A. ↑,
43', Dorval M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 0, Sibilli G. (Pen),
45+2', 3 - 0, Maiello R. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Pandolfi L. 🟨,
52', 3 - 1, Carissoni L. ⚽, Tronchin S. (A),
55', 3 - 2, Pandolfi L. ⚽,
58', Sibilli G. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
58', Dorval M. ↓, Favasuli C. ↑,
62', Rabbi S. ↓, Ravasio M. ↑,
65', Maiello R. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
65', Novakovich A. ↓, Saco C. ↑,
71', Tronchin S. ↓, Desogus J. ↑,
71', Piccinini S. ↓, Negro S. ↑,
79', Cecchetto A. ↓, Voltan D. ↑,
79', Pandolfi L. ↓, Cassano C. ↑,
82', Branca S. 🟨,
83', Angeli M. 🟨,
84', Carissoni L. 🟨,
85', Favasuli C. 🟨,
89', Radunovic B. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bari won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Bari is a favorite.

There will not play in Bari: Benali A. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Cittadella: Angeli M. (Injury) Salvi A. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bari: Matino E. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Cittadella: Casolari F. (Injury) Magrassi A. (Muscle Injury) Negro S. (Injury) Sanogo A. (Injury) Vita A. (Lacking Match Fitness)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Bari won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.3:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bari won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:7 (average 1.6:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
10.11.24	Salernitana - Bari	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Bari - Reggiana	2:2 ✺
29.10.24	Bari - Carrarese	0:0 ✺
25.10.24	Spezia - Bari	0:0 ✺
18.10.24	Bari - Catanzaro	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTTTT
- AS Cittadella
Italian Serie B
10.11.24	Cittadella - Cesena	0:2 ✺
03.11.24	Palermo - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
30.10.24	Cittadella - Sampdoria	0:0 ✺
26.10.24	Carrarese - Cittadella	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Cittadella - Nuova Cosenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
05.05.24	Cittadella - Bari	1:1
30.08.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1
01.05.23	Bari - Cittadella	1:1
08.12.22	Cittadella - Bari	0:3
03.06.18	Cittadella - Bari	2:2 ET
17.03.18	Cittadella - Bari	0:0
20.10.17	Bari - Cittadella	4:2

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