Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 9

Date: 22 October 2023, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Città di Brindisi		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.6
	2.55	3.2	2.65
	2.62	3.2	2.84
	2.62	3.09	2.84
	2.45	3.1	2.62
	2.43	3.13	2.71
	2.5	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (2.16)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	2.7 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Città di Brindisi
36.6%

Draw
29.4%

Casertana
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.2%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

28.1%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Città di Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Città di Brindisi's form might have worsened.

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casertana's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Città di Brindisi than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Città di Brindisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casertana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Città di Brindisi - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Saio I. (G) 16. Valenti B. 4. Gorzelewski F. 13. Bizzotto N. 3. Monti N. 8. Cancelli C. 19. Malaccari N. 7. Albertini A. 10. Petrucci D. 17. Fall M. 24. Golfo F.	22. Venturi G. (G) 26. Calapai L. 19. Sciacca G. 6. Soprano M. 33. Anastasio A. 21. Casoli G. 5. Toscano M. 80. Proietti M. 7. Carretta M. 32. Montalto A. 11. Tavernelli C.
Substitutes
1. Albertazzi M. (G) 12. Auro C. (G) 15. Bellucci N. 9. Bunino C. 6. Ceesay W. R. 63. Costa R. 23. De Angelis P. 30. De Feo G. 99. Ganz S. 11. Lombardi L. 14. Mazia A. 18. Moretti F. 2. Vona A.	66. Cadili A. 10. Curcio A. 23. Del Prete M. 17. Galletta U. 1. Marfella D. (G) 16. Matese M. 24. Paglino S. 25. Taurino L. 27. Turchetta G.

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Group A).

Recent matches Brindisi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Casertana is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Casertana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Brindisi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Brindisi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Città di Brindisi
Italian Serie C Group C
14.10.23	Foggia - Città di Brindisi	2:0 ✺
10.10.23	Città di Brindisi - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Virtus Francavilla - Città di Brindisi	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
30.09.23	Latina - Città di Brindisi	1:3 ✺
25.09.23	Città di Brindisi - Benevento	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTWWL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
16.10.23	Casertana - Avellino	0:2 ✺
11.10.23	ACR Messina - Casertana	1:1 ✺
08.10.23	Nuova Monterosi - Casertana	0:1 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
04.10.23	Latina - Casertana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
01.10.23	Casertana - Catania	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
14.04.22	Città di Brindisi - Casertana	2:3
05.12.21	Casertana - Città di Brindisi	0:2

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