Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 29

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Central Norte

	1	X	2
	1.96	2.85	4.50
	1.98	2.87	4.10
	1.87	2.95	4.30	Watch
	2.07	2.99	4.55
	2.11	2.89	4.12	Watch
	1.99	2.95	4.50
	2.00	2.90	4.49
	1.92	2.85	4.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.52)	2.91 ↑ (2.66)	4.36 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
46.7%

Draw
32%

Central Norte
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

35.2%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

35.6%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Bolívar's performance.

Central Norte has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Central Norte might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Bolívar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Norte than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Central Norte could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ciudad de Bolívar - Central Norte Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ciudad de Bolívar (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 4. Paredes A. 2. Peralta F. 6. Martinez E. 3. Fernandez T. 7. Sanchez G. 5. Guiacobini T. 8. Diaz A. 11. Mucignat F. 9. Caraballo K. 10. Gonzalez A.	1. Hass F. (G) 4. Sanz P. 6. Lamosa A. 2. Calderon E. 3. Felissia L. 5. Mancuso G. 10. Quiroga S. 8. Castro T. 7. Vedoya F. 11. Bodencer E. 9. Borda F.
Substitutes
16. Diaz A. 14. Gridel M. 18. Gutierrez M. 13. Ihitz N. 17. Ilarregui F. 19. Maciel J. 15. Rodriguez T. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 20. Villegas L.	15. Aleo A. 16. Bustinduy A. 19. Isa Luna K. 14. Lucero M. 18. Mateo J. 17. Moravec M. 13. Pucheta A. 12. Vazquez E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Lamosa A. 🟨,
64', Bodencer E. ↓, Moravec M. ↑,
67', Sanchez G. ↓, Ilarregui F. ↑,
81', Vedoya F. ↓, Mateo J. ↑,
81', Castro T. ↓, Bustinduy A. ↑,
84', Gonzalez A. ↓, Gutierrez M. ↑,
84', Caraballo K. ↓, Villegas L. ↑,
90+1', Quiroga S. ↓, Pucheta A. ↑,
90+1', Fernandez T. ↓, Rodriguez T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).

Recent form of Ciudad de Bolívar has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Central Norte has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Central Norte has had a series of home games.

Ciudad de Bolívar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ciudad de Bolívar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Ciudad de Bolívar - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 37.1%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Deportivo Madryn - Ciudad de Bolívar	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Defensores de Belgrano	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Racing de Córdoba	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Agropecuario Argentino - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
08.08.26	Almirante Brown - Ciudad de Bolívar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWTLL
- CA Central Norte
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.09.26	Central Norte - Almirante Brown	0:0 ✺
30.08.26	Mitre - Central Norte	2:2 ✺
26.08.26	Central Norte - Deportivo Morón	0:0 ✺
22.08.26	Central Norte - Estudiantes de Caseros	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Central Norte - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1

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