Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 12

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Eva Peron (Bolivar)


	Ciudad de Bolívar		Ferro Carril Oeste

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.57	3.2	Watch
	2.55	2.65	3.1
	2.58	2.58	3.1
	2.71	2.77	3.31
	2.66	2.6	3.27	Watch
	2.63	2.45	3.2
	2.56	2.52	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↓ (2.66)	2.59 ↓ (2.65)	3.2 ↑ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Bolívar
35.3%

Draw
35.7%

Ferro Carril Oeste
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

35.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

34.7%

29.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Ciudad de Bolívar - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rufinetti A. (G) 10. Gonzalez A. 11. Gutierrez M. 9. Maciel J. 6. Martinez E. 2. Navarro E. 4. Paredes A. 3. Peralta F. 7. Sanchez G. 5. Vega C. 8. Yeri N.	1. Monetti F. (G) 9. Acosta M. 6. Canto G. 11. Dening E. 7. Gonzalez A. 10. Hoyos E. 8. Kabalin M. 4. Nazareno K. 5. Obradovich F. 2. Orellana J. 3. Ozuna E.
Substitutes
12. Alvarez E. (G) 18. Caraballo K. 14. Carrion A. 13. Chacon J. 19. Cuello E. 20. Diaz A. 17. Mucignat F. 15. Quintana B. 16. Sotelo M.	17. Campos M. 16. Castellani G. 14. Corda S. 20. Garcia F. 18. Menendez J. 15. Olguin G. 19. Parisi L. 12. Ruiz L. (G) 13. Zubowicz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', Vega C. ↓, Quintana B. ↑,
18', 0 - 1, Dening E. ⚽, Gonzalez A. (A),
25', Navarro E. 🟨,
36', Maciel J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 1, Gutierrez M. ⚽, Maciel J. (A),
39', Dening E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
49', 1 - 2, Obradovich F. ⚽, Dening E. (A),
53', Sanchez G. 🟨,
59', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
61', 2 - 2, Gonzalez A. ⚽, Paredes A. (A),
64', Acosta M. ↓, Garcia F. ↑,
64', Hoyos E. ↓, Campos M. ↑,
68', Maciel J. ↓, Mucignat F. ↑,
68', Gutierrez M. ↓, Caraballo K. ↑,
68', Peralta F. ↓, Cuello E. ↑,
74', Obradovich F. ↓, Castellani G. ↑,
74', Gonzalez A. ↓, Olguin G. ↑,
81', 2 - 3, Dening E. ⚽, Campos M. (A),
82', Monetti F. 🟨,
83', Paredes A. ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
87', Kabalin M. ↓, Zubowicz M. ↑,
88', 2 - 4, Canto G. ⚽, Dening E. (A),
90+1', Quintana B. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 13).

Ciudad de Bolívar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Ferro Carril has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ferro Carril may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Ciudad de Bolívar
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Central Norte - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Deportivo Madryn	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Defensores de Belgrano - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:0 ✺
05.04.26	Racing de Córdoba - Ciudad de Bolívar	0:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ciudad de Bolívar - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 WWTWT
- Ferro Carril Oeste
Argentinian Primera Nacional
28.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Almirante Brown	0:1 ✺
19.04.26	Mitre - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
12.04.26	Ferro Carril Oeste - Estudiantes de Caseros	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	All Boys - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Atlanta Buenos Aires - Ferro Carril Oeste	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWLTW

Upcoming Matches