Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 21

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Ciudad de Lucena		Antoniano

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	2.95
	2.45	2.6	2.8
	2.35	2.76	3.09
	2.34	3.04	3.04
	2.4	2.85	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.86)	2.81 ↓ (3.1)	2.98 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Lucena
37.9%

Draw
31.9%

Antoniano
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.7%

29.2%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28.9%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Lucena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ciudad de Lucena's performance.

Antoniano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Antoniano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ciudad de Lucena than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ciudad de Lucena that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Antoniano than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Antoniano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ciudad de Lucena - Antoniano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Recent matches Ciudad de Lucena is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Antoniano in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Lucena won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Lucena won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Ciudad de Lucena
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.02.23	Pozoblanco - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Cartaya	1:0 ✺
22.01.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	0:1 ✺
15.01.23	Ciudad de Lucena - Rota	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Córdoba B - Ciudad de Lucena	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 TWWLL
- CA Antoniano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
05.02.23	Antoniano - Cartaya	3:0 ✺
29.01.23	Rota - Antoniano	0:2 ✺
21.01.23	Antoniano - Ceuta B	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Ayamonte - Antoniano	0:1 ✺
08.01.23	Antoniano - Sevilla C	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
16.10.22	Antoniano - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1
27.02.22	Ciudad de Lucena - Antoniano	1:1
31.10.21	Antoniano - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1

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