Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 13 - Round 28

Date: 7 April 2024, Sunday


	Ciudad de Murcia		Real Murcia B

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.5	1.6
	5	3.75	1.57
	5.25	3.64	1.56
	5.25	3.64	1.56
	5.4	3.75	1.55
	5	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.11 ↑ (4.09)	3.67 ↑ (3.25)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ciudad de Murcia
17.7%

Draw
24.6%

Real Murcia B
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

27.9%

49.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.2%

27.8%

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ciudad de Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Real Murcia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia B's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ciudad de Murcia than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia B than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia B, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+5', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 0.

Ciudad de Murcia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Murcia B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Murcia B is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 3-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Ciudad de Murcia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CAP Ciudad de Murcia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
31.03.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Unión Molinense	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Caravaca - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	1:0 ✺
10.03.24	UCAM Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ciudad de Murcia - Algar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWLL
- Real Murcia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
31.03.24	Real Murcia B - Cieza	3:0 ✺
24.03.24	Unión Molinense - Real Murcia B	3:1 ✺
17.03.24	Real Murcia B - El Palmar	7:1 ✺
10.03.24	Caravaca - Real Murcia B	2:2 ✺
03.03.24	Real Murcia B - Montecasillas	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
19.11.23	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	2:0
16.04.23	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	3:1
11.12.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Real Murcia B	0:0
23.01.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Real Murcia B	0:1
19.09.21	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	1:0
05.01.20	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	4:0
21.04.19	Real Murcia B - Ciudad de Murcia	2:2

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