Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 41

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday


	Cleethorpes Town		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.45	2.02
	2.65	4.03	2.15
	2.67	4.17	2.2	Watch
	2.9	3.5	2
	2.96	3.76	2.01
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.82)	3.78 ↑ (3.73)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleethorpes Town
32%

Draw
24.1%

Hednesford Town
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

24.9%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32%

24.2%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleethorpes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Cleethorpes Town aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Cleethorpes Town - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 0 - 1, Sterling-James O. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Hednesford might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Cleethorpes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Cleethorpes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cleethorpes	12	8	3	1	27:7	20	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.04.26	Cleethorpes Town - Hebburn Town	2:4 ✺
06.04.26	Workington - Cleethorpes Town	1:1 ✺
02.04.26	Cleethorpes Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Cleethorpes Town	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Cleethorpes Town - Guiseley	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LTWWW
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
11.04.26	Hednesford Town - Morpeth Town	4:0 ✺
06.04.26	United of Manchester - Hednesford Town	1:2 ✺
03.04.26	Hednesford Town - Prescot Cables	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Workington - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
22.11.25	Hednesford Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:0
English FA Cup
07.09.21	Cleethorpes Town - Hednesford Town	2:1
English FA Trophy
15.11.17	Cleethorpes Town - Hednesford Town	2:1
11.11.17	Hednesford Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:1

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