Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 36

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Stocksbridge Park Steels		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.7	1.7
	4.35	3.4	1.7
	4.48	3.47	1.74
	4.43	3.86	1.71	Watch
	4.2	3.3	1.7
	4.38	3.55	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↓ (4.64)	3.55 ↓ (3.86)	1.71 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stocksbridge Park Steels
21.2%

Draw
25.6%

Hednesford Town
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

24.1%

55.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2%

23.1%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stocksbridge Park Steels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Hednesford Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stocksbridge Park Steels than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hednesford Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Rawson L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 1 - 1, Gibson M. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Stocksbridge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Hednesford is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Hednesford is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Stocksbridge won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.5:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stocksbridge Park Steels
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Workington - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Morpeth Town	1:1 ✺
03.03.26	Hebburn Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	United of Manchester - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:0 ✺
21.02.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Prescot Cables	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLLW
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
14.03.26	Hednesford Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
21.02.26	Hednesford Town - Lancaster City	3:0 ✺
14.02.26	Hyde United - Hednesford Town	5:0 ✺
10.02.26	Hednesford Town - Hebburn Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
08.11.25	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	2:0
27.04.13	Hednesford Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:1

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