Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday

Location: Broadhurst Park (Manchester)


	United of Manchester		Hednesford Town

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.92	2.78
	2.72	2.58	2.98
	2.55	3.09	2.84	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.7
	2.57	2.71	2.82
	2.2	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (1.95)	2.87 ↓ (3.52)	2.87 ↓ (3.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United of Manchester
36.6%

Draw
31.7%

Hednesford Town
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

26%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24.8%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United of Manchester has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United of Manchester's form might have worsened.

Hednesford Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United of Manchester than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United of Manchester, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hednesford Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hednesford Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

United of Manchester - Hednesford Town Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Grivosti M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
85', 1 - 1, Jervis J. ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 2, Sterling-James O. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Premier Division (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

United of Manchester is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, United of Manchester won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, United of Manchester won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
22	FC United	10	1	2	7	12:20	-8	5

Last Results with these Odds

United of Manchester - the odds 1.95 are the expected chance of winning is 47.1%, but this team recently wins 42% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC United of Manchester
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Whitby Town - United of Manchester	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Warrington Rylands - United of Manchester	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Stockton Town - United of Manchester	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	United of Manchester - Stocksbridge Park Steels	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWWW
- Hednesford Town
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Hednesford Town - Prescot Cables	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Workington - Hednesford Town	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Stocksbridge Park Steels - Hednesford Town	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Hednesford Town - Guiseley	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Hednesford Town	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
27.12.25	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	1:1
English National League North
28.12.15	United of Manchester - Hednesford Town	1:1
29.08.15	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	0:3
English NPL Premier Division
12.05.13	Hednesford Town - United of Manchester	2:1

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