Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 28

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday


	Cleethorpes Town		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.21	3.62	2.8
	2.21	3.79	2.83	Watch
	2.15	3.25	2.8
	2.19	3.44	2.83
	2.2	3.6	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.88)	3.5 ↓ (3.7)	2.84 ↓ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cleethorpes Town
41.9%

Draw
26%

Ilkeston
32.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.1%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

25.4%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cleethorpes Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cleethorpes Town's form might have worsened.

Ilkeston has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ilkeston's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cleethorpes Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ilkeston, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Cleethorpes Town - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 10).

Recent performances by Cleethorpes have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Ilkeston is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cleethorpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Cleethorpes could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cleethorpes won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cleethorpes	12	8	3	1	27:7	20	27
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
17.01.26	Leek Town - Cleethorpes Town	2:1 ✺
01.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hyde United - Cleethorpes Town	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWTW
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
17.01.26	Ilkeston - Lancaster City	3:0 ✺
13.01.26	Whitby Town - Ilkeston	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ilkeston - Morpeth Town	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Hyde United - Ilkeston	2:2 ✺
26.12.25	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
16.09.25	Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	0:3

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