Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 27

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Leek Town		Cleethorpes Town

	1	X	2
	3.05	3.3	2.08
	2.96	3.64	2.19	Watch
	3	3.25	2.05
	3.29	3.52	1.95
	3.33	3.75	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.13 ↑ (2.62)	3.49 ↓ (3.52)	2.03 ↓ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Leek Town
29.1%

Draw
26.1%

Cleethorpes Town
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

26.4%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.3%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leek Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Leek Town's form might have worsened.

Cleethorpes Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cleethorpes Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leek Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Leek Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleethorpes Town than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cleethorpes Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Leek Town - Cleethorpes Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cleethorpes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Walker J. ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Owolabi T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 2 - 1, Weir L. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Leek is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Cleethorpes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cleethorpes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leek won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Outrights of English NPL Premier Division for now

Cleethorpes: 13.49%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Cleethorpes	12	8	3	1	27:7	20	27
17	Leek	11	2	4	5	22:23	-1	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Leek Town
English NPL Premier Division
10.01.26	Leek Town - United of Manchester	0:1 ✺
01.01.26	Warrington Town - Leek Town	1:1 ✺
26.12.25	Leek Town - Stocksbridge Park Steels	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Leek Town	5:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Southport - Leek Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LTLLL
- Cleethorpes Town
English NPL Premier Division
01.01.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Cleethorpes Town	2:0 ✺
27.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - Workington	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hyde United - Cleethorpes Town	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Cleethorpes Town - United of Manchester	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Hednesford Town - Cleethorpes Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
13.09.25	Cleethorpes Town - Leek Town	3:0

Upcoming Matches