Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 24

Date: 26 December 2025, Friday


	Ilkeston		Rushall Olympic

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.4	2.82
	2.16	3.85	2.88	Watch
	2.15	3.3	2.8
	2.16	3.42	2.89
	2.14	3.66	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (2)	3.53 ↑ (3.33)	2.85 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilkeston
42.3%

Draw
25.8%

Rushall Olympic
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

27.2%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

26.7%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Rushall Olympic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rushall Olympic than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilkeston (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 - Ilkeston (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ilkeston (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Fox R. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Walker J. ⚽,
45+5', 3 - 0, Thornhill M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
74', 4 - 0, L'Varn B. ⚽,
79', 4 - 1, Wakefield H. ⚽,
85', 5 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 1.

Ilkeston has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Rushall is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Ilkeston won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:15. (average 1.4:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Ilkeston won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Ilkeston - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.28%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.

Rushall Olympic - the odds 3.28 are the expected chance of winning is 27.54%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	United of Manchester - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1 ✺
18.11.25	Hebburn Town - Ilkeston	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Rushall Olympic
English NPL Premier Division
20.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Leek Town	5:1 ✺
13.12.25	Rushall Olympic - Warrington Town	2:3 ✺
29.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Hebburn Town	0:1 ✺
22.11.25	Morpeth Town - Rushall Olympic	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Rushall Olympic - Workington	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
25.02.23	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	1:1
11.10.22	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:0
English NPL Premier Division
01.11.16	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	0:2
04.10.16	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	1:0
16.04.16	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	4:1
19.01.16	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	2:2
10.01.15	Rushall Olympic - Ilkeston	1:3

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