Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 25

Date: 3 January 2026, Saturday


	Hyde United		Ilkeston

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.35	2.62
	2.42	3.74	2.57	Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.63
	2.24	3.75	2.81
	2.28	3.4	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↓ (2.34)	3.51 ↓ (3.53)	2.69 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hyde United
39.8%

Draw
26.1%

Ilkeston
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

25.7%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

25.4%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hyde United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Ilkeston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hyde United than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilkeston than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Hyde United - Ilkeston Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
16', 1 - 0, Maieco E. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, L'Varn B. ⚽,
40', 1 - 2, Okyere S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 2, Maieco E. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hyde won 2.

The current form of both teams is below expectations.

Recently, Hyde has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hyde won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.4:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Hyde won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Hyde	12	4	2	6	13:21	-8	14
21	Ilkeston	12	2	1	9	7:26	-19	7

Last Results with these Odds

Hyde United - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.62%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.

Ilkeston - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hyde United
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Ashton United - Hyde United	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Hyde United - Cleethorpes Town	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Hyde United - Hebburn Town	1:3 ✺
22.11.25	Hyde United - United of Manchester	2:2 ✺
15.11.25	Hyde United - Warrington Town	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLTL
- Ilkeston FC
English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Ilkeston - Rushall Olympic	5:1 ✺
20.12.25	Gainsborough Trinity - Ilkeston	0:0 ✺
13.12.25	Ilkeston - Hednesford Town	0:3 ✺
29.11.25	United of Manchester - Ilkeston	2:1 ✺
22.11.25	Ilkeston - Stocksbridge Park Steels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.08.25	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:0
11.02.25	Hyde United - Ilkeston	3:1
22.10.24	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:2
16.03.24	Ilkeston - Hyde United	1:1
24.10.23	Hyde United - Ilkeston	2:0
09.04.16	Hyde United - Ilkeston	1:3
21.11.15	Ilkeston - Hyde United	3:1

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