Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 25

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Clermont		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	2.7	3	2.6	Watch
	2.85	3.25	2.4
	2.82	3	2.52	Watch
	2.91	3.21	2.67
	2.79	3.19	2.55	Watch
	2.63	3.1	2.5
	2.79	3.1	2.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.33)	3.12 ↑ (2.96)	2.56 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
33.6%

Draw
29.9%

Dunkerque
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

31.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

31%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clermont's performance.

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clermont that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	27.3%	36.4%

Clermont - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 8% – 64.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Clermont (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dunkerque (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Guivarch T. (G) 28. M'Bahia I. 4. Sow S. 21. Salmier Y. 93. Coulibaly I. 25. Gastien J. 2. Baallal A. 38. Kone E. H. 77. Cantero E. 18. Diedhiou F. (C) 32. Bamba K.	60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 4. Lagae B. 22. Mayela V. 2. Georgen A. 11. Daho A. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
44. Ackra A. 7. Camblan A. 5. Caufriez M. 29. Fakili I. 19. Guindo M. 16. N'Diaye M. (G) 12. Nsimba V.	69. Bokele Mputu M. 6. Diong P. 18. Diop M. 15. Doucet L. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 57. Seha Z.
Coaches
Proment G.	Sanchez A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Zossou A. ⚽, Sangante O. (A),
32', Daho A. 🟨,
42', Robinet T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Mayela V. 🟨,
55', 1 - 1, Diedhiou F. (Penalty Awarded),
61', Daho A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
69', Bamba K. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
74', Mayela V. ↓, Doucet L. ↑,
74', Sekongo A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
81', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
81', Zossou A. ↓, Seha Z. ↑,
81', Cantero E. ↓, Camblan A. ↑,
81', Gastien J. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
82', Diedhiou F. ↓, Guindo M. ↑,
83', Sangante O. 🟨,
86', Kone E. H. 🟨,
90+1', Kone E. H. ↓, Nsimba V. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Lagae B. (Own goal),

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 6).

Clermont is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dunkerque's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Inactive) Boto K. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Hunou A. (Inactive) Saivet H. (Inactive)

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Essimi M. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sasso V. (Inactive)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Clermont won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Clermont won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Dunkerque: 0.75% Clermont: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dunkerque	7	2	2	3	10:12	-2	8
16	Clermont	7	0	6	1	4:6	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Boulogne - Clermont	0:2 ✺
13.02.26	Clermont - Rodez	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Amiens - Clermont	4:3 ✺
30.01.26	Clermont - Reims	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Annecy - Clermont	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLLL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
20.02.26	Dunkerque - Bastia	1:1 ✺
13.02.26	Amiens - Dunkerque	1:4 ✺
06.02.26	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Dunkerque - Annecy	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Le Mans - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 TWTLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
09.08.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	2:2
21.02.25	Dunkerque - Clermont	3:0
13.09.24	Clermont - Dunkerque	0:1
16.01.21	Clermont - Dunkerque	5:0
29.08.20	Dunkerque - Clermont	1:1

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