Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Marcel Tribut (Dunkerque) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Millot B. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
France	20:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free


	Dunkerque		Guingamp

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.1	Watch
	2.2	3.25	3.2
	2.18	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.29	3.31	3.33
	2.17	3.27	3.37	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.2
	2.25	3.2	3.23	Watch
	2.22	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.78)	3.19 ↓ (3.58)	3.24 ↓ (4.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dunkerque
42.1%

Draw
29.2%

Guingamp
28.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.8%

22.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6%

25.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dunkerque's form might have worsened.

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Guingamp's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+10.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dunkerque, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Guingamp, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	35.7%	14.3%

Dunkerque - Guingamp Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Guingamp will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Dunkerque (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dunkerque (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
60. Niflore M. (G) 2. Georgen A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 4. Lagae B. 22. Mayela V. 15. Doucet L. 7. Sylvestre E. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 77. Zossou A. 9. Robinet T.	16. Ortola A. (G) 2. Koffi E. 17. Mbemba F. 36. Demouchy A. 29. Abdallah A. 11. Sagna A. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 8. Sidibe K. 22. Sissoko A. 21. Demoncy Y. 9. Mafouta L.
Substitutes
69. Bokele Mputu M. 11. Daho A. 6. Diong P. 18. Diop M. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 42. Makhloufi M.	39. Ahile T. 1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 33. Gassama E. 20. Hatchi J. 27. Kielt S. 37. Matondo J. 3. Matumona J.
Coaches
Sanchez A.	Ripoll S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Doucet L. 🟥,
64', Sylvestre E. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
70', Mbemba F. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
70', Sidibe K. 🟨,
71', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
75', Demoncy Y. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
79', Zossou A. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
79', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
82', Koffi E. ↓, Matumona J. ↑,
83', Matumona J. 🟨,
87', Sekongo A. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dunkerque is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F. (Inactive) Diong P. (Inactive) Eguaras I. (Inactive) Essimi M. (Inactive) Linguet A. (Inactive) Massock T. (Inactive) Sasso V. (Inactive)

There will not play in Guingamp: Gomis D. (Yellow Cards) Hemia A. (Knee Injury) N'Landu D. (Knee Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive) Samoura A. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Guingamp: Ott G. (Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Dunkerque won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Dunkerque won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Dunkerque	10	3	3	4	14:16	-2	12
11	Guingamp	10	3	2	5	13:15	-2	11

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Guingamp: 0.84% Dunkerque: 0.8%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
31.01.26	Dunkerque - Annecy	0:1 ✺
26.01.26	Le Mans - Dunkerque	1:0 ✺
16.01.26	Dunkerque - Pau	3:1 ✺
05.01.26	Montpellier - Dunkerque	1:3 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Strasbourg - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWWL
- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Montpellier - Guingamp	3:1 ✺
24.01.26	Guingamp - Troyes	1:0 ✺
19.01.26	Nancy - Guingamp	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Guingamp - Boulogne	3:0 ✺
Coupe De France
19.12.25	Guingamp - Laval	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
23.09.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	2:1
French Ligue 1
14.05.25	Dunkerque - Guingamp	1:0
French Ligue 2
07.04.25	Dunkerque - Guingamp	3:1
04.01.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	1:1
13.04.24	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:1
12.08.23	Guingamp - Dunkerque	0:1
07.05.22	Dunkerque - Guingamp	1:3

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