The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amiens 25.2%
Draw 26.7%
Dunkerque 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.9%
24.3%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.3%
23.7%
56.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dunkerque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunkerque than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dunkerque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
30.8%
69.2%
Amiens - Dunkerque Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Dunkerque will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dunkerque: 44.1% โ 94.3%.
40. Bernardoni P. (G) 88. Kore Y. 34. Bakayoko S. (C) 28. Lo A. 44. Louis C. 29. Sane I. 45. Fofana I. 80. Alvero S. 14. Leautey A. 90. Ntamack S. 10. Kandil N.
60. Niflore M. (G) 27. Linguet A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 22. Mayela V. 42. Makhloufi M. 2. Georgen A. 11. Daho A. 8. Sekongo A. 20. Bardeli E. 69. Bokele Mputu M. 9. Robinet T.
Substitutes
11. Averlant T. 7. Hamache I. 20. Kaiboue K. 27. Lutin R. 15. Nduquidi J. 21. Roussillon J. 16. Sauvage A. (G)
33. Bebey Sake M. 6. Diong P. 18. Diop M. 19. Kante A. 1. Lavin M. (G) 7. Sylvestre E. 77. Zossou A.
Coaches
Daf O.
Sanchez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Kore Y. 🟨,
36', 0 - 1, Sekongo A. ⚽, Robinet T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
46', Alvero S. ↓, Kaiboue K. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Robinet T. (Penalty Awarded),
63', 0 - 3, Sekongo A. ⚽, Bardeli E. (A),
64', Sane I. ↓, Averlant T. ↑,
64', Leautey A. ↓, Hamache I. ↑,
69', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Zossou A. ↑,
69', Makhloufi M. ↓, Diong P. ↑,
69', Lo A. ↓, Lutin R. ↑,
78', 1 - 3, Averlant T. ⚽, Kandil N. (A),
79', Daho A. ↓, Sylvestre E. ↑,
80', Louis C. ↓, Roussillon J. ↑,
85', Sekongo A. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
85', Robinet T. ↓, Kante A. ↑,
89', 1 - 4, Kante A. ⚽, Sangante O. (A),
90+6', Sangante O. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 1.
Amiens is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Dunkerque's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Dunkerque may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Dunkerque is the team to beat.
There will not play in Amiens: Appiah A.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Lobry V.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Monconduit T.
(Inactive)
There will not play in Dunkerque: Abner F.
(Inactive)
Doucet L.
(Red Card)
Eguaras I.
(Inactive)
Essimi M.
(Inactive)
Linguet A.
(Inactive)
Massock T.
(Inactive)
Sasso V.
(Inactive)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Amiens won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 19:26. (average 1.1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Amiens won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).