Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stade Gabriel Montpied (Clermont-Ferrand)

Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Clermont		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.69	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.6
	1.75	3.6	4.5	Watch
	1.78	3.65	4.88
	1.78	3.62	4.39	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.6
	1.78	3.64	4.63	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.69)	3.61 ↓ (3.77)	4.58 ↓ (5.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
53.6%

Draw
25.9%

Martigues
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

25.2%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

17.3%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-15%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clermont that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Martigues could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Clermont - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. N'Diaye M. (G) 7. Magnin Y. 12. Da Silva D. 20. Mwimba J. 31. Diallo B. 17. Diop O. 44. Ackra A. 10. Saivet H. (C) 11. Douane M. 18. Diedhiou F. 77. Baaloudj M.	30. Aymes J. (G) 39. Saintini N. 3. Solvet S. 5. Falette S. 12. Robin M. 23. Siby M. 26. Belloumou S. 41. Bamba M. 18. Amraoui A. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 29. Mendy O.
Substitutes
22. Armougom Y. 19. Bouchenna M. 25. Gastien J. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 97. Jacquet J. 15. Konate C. O. 92. Maurer A.	20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 27. Ipiele A. 24. Morante L. 19. Ouotro P. 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui I.
Coaches
Bichard S.	Laurey T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Mendy O. ⚽, Saintini N. (A),
43', Belloumou S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Belloumou S. ↓, Morante L. ↑,
56', Magnin Y. 🟨,
58', Saivet H. ↓, Gastien J. ↑,
58', Diallo B. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
58', Magnin Y. ↓, Jacquet J. ↑,
66', Mwimba J. ↓, Konate C. O. ↑,
69', Mendy O. 🟨,
73', Bamba M. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
73', Ouotro P. ↓, Moussiti-Oko B. ↑,
73', Aymes J. 🟨,
78', Konate C. O. 🟨,
87', Diop O. ↓, Maurer A. ↑,
87', Mendy O. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
90', Morante L. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
90+3', Hadjem Y. 🟨,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Recent matches Clermont is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martigues is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Clermont is a favorite.

There will not play in Clermont: Fakili I. (Ankle Injury) Inchaud M. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Clermont: Armougom Y. (Injury) Jacquet J. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
18.10.24	Bastia - Clermont	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Clermont - Guingamp	4:1 ✺
27.09.24	Grenoble - Clermont	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Clermont - Red Star	1:1 ✺
20.09.24	Amiens - Clermont	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TWLTL
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
18.10.24	Martigues - Rodez	0:2 ✺
05.10.24	Ajaccio - Martigues	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Metz - Martigues	6:0 ✺
20.09.24	Martigues - Grenoble	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTTLL

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