Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia)

Referee: Paradis G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Bastia		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	5	Watch
	1.72	3.35	4.85
	1.74	3.51	4.43	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.81	Watch
	1.77	3.4	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.74)	3.41 ↓ (3.5)	4.74 ↑ (4.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bastia
53.2%

Draw
27.2%

Clermont
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

26.4%

20.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

25.6%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Bastia - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Clermont will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 50%). Clermont (votes: 4 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Clermont (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Bastia (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Clermont (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Olmeta L. (G) 24. Meynadier T. 6. Guidi D. 4. Roncaglia A. 3. Guevara J. 15. Bohnert F. 9. Tomi F. 13. Ducrocq T. 7. Vincent C. (C) 5. Ariss Z. 14. Sebas J.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 93. Coulibaly I. 28. M'Bahia I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 12. Nsimba V. 10. Saivet H. 13. Astic J. 44. Ackra A. 7. Camblan A. 32. Bamba K. 94. Socka Bongue L.
Substitutes
11. Ble M. 29. Etoga L. 23. Fabri J. (G) 8. Karamoko I. 19. Parravicini N. 33. Petrignani M. 12. Zilliox N.	2. Baallal A. 8. Bellache Y. 97. Boto K. 17. Diop O. 29. Fakili I. 15. Konate C. O. 1. N'Diaye M. (G)
Coaches
Moretti M.	Proment G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Ackra A. ↓, Baallal A. ↑,
17', Bamba K. 🟨,
17', Guidi D. 🟨,
36', Camblan A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Bohnert F. ↓, Parravicini N. ↑,
60', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
60', Parravicini N. 🟨,
67', Socka Bongue L. ↓, Fakili I. ↑,
70', Vincent C. ↓, Etoga L. ↑,
70', Tomi F. ↓, Karamoko I. ↑,
73', Sebas J. ↓, Ble M. ↑,
73', Ducrocq T. ↓, Petrignani M. ↑,
76', Nsimba V. 🟨,
81', Bamba K. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
81', Astic J. ↓, Bellache Y. ↑,
82', Coulibaly I. ↓, Konate C. O. ↑,
84', 1 - 0, Guidi D. ⚽, Petrignani M. (A),
90+3', Olmeta L. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 14).

Bastia is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Clermont's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Bastia is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Bastia: Akueson G. (Knee Injury) Bathily Y. (Injury) Boutrah A. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury)

There will not play in Clermont: Caufriez M. (Inactive) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury) Gastien J. (Inactive)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.8:0.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Bastia
French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Nancy - Bastia	2:0 ✺
17.10.25	Troyes - Bastia	1:0 ✺
03.10.25	Bastia - Dunkerque	0:0 ✺
26.09.25	Grenoble - Bastia	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Bastia - Rodez	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTTL
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
28.10.25	Clermont - Montpellier	1:1 ✺
24.10.25	Guingamp - Clermont	0:1 ✺
17.10.25	Clermont - Annecy	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Pau - Clermont	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Clermont - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
14.02.25	Clermont - Bastia	1:1
18.10.24	Bastia - Clermont	0:0
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Bastia - Clermont	2:0
French Ligue 2
28.01.12	Clermont - Bastia	N/A

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