Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 6

Date: 24 September 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Thual O. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 10


	Metz		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	7	Watch
	1.39	4.5	8
	1.4	4.5	7.5
	1.4	4.36	10.06
	1.44	4.28	8.29	Watch
	1.35	4.5	8.5
	1.39	4.65	8.6	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.44)	4.47 ↑ (4.36)	8.18 ↑ (7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
67.4%

Draw
21%

Martigues
11.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.1%

21.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.5%

20.4%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	18.7%	6.2%

Metz - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Martigues will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Oukidja A. (G) 2. Colin M. 38. Sane S. 36. Jallow A. 3. Udol M. (C) 15. Lo A. 20. Deminguet J. 7. Hein G. 10. Diallo P. A. 14. Sabaly C. 31. Elisor S.	30. Aymes J. (G) 24. Morante L. 39. Saintini N. 5. Falette S. (C) 21. Hadjem Y. 19. Ouotro P. 23. Siby M. 12. Robin M. 14. Moussiti-Oko B. 29. Mendy O. 18. Amraoui A.
Substitutes
99. Asoro J. 19. Bokele Mputu M. 5. Cande F. 39. Kouao K. 9. Sane I. 26. Stambouli B. 61. Sy P. (G)	35. Benabdelouahed K. 33. Bonalair M. 22. Djaha A. 27. Ipiele A. 40. Marillat Y. (G) 10. Tlili K. 8. Zouaoui I.
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Laurey T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
24', Moussiti-Oko B. 🟨,
35', 1 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽,
37', 2 - 0, Udol M. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
45+3', 3 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽, Udol M. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Ouotro P. ↓, Tlili K. ↑,
46', Hadjem Y. ↓, Djaha A. ↑,
48', 4 - 0, Sabaly C. ⚽, Elisor S. (A),
57', Mendy O. 🟨,
62', Deminguet J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
62', Diallo P. A. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
62', Sabaly C. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
67', Falette S. ↓, Bonalair M. ↑,
68', Moussiti-Oko B. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
70', 5 - 0, Udol M. ⚽, Elisor S. (A),
72', Elisor S. ↓, Asoro J. ↑,
72', Hein G. ↓, Cande F. ↑,
81', 6 - 0, Sane I. ⚽, Asoro J. (A),
84', Morante L. ↓, Benabdelouahed K. ↑,
84', Udol M. 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Metz is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martigues is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Martigues could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Metz is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
21.09.24	Metz - Lorient	1:1 ✺
14.09.24	Paris FC - Metz	1:2 ✺
31.08.24	Metz - Laval	1:1 ✺
23.08.24	Rodez - Metz	1:3 ✺
19.08.24	Metz - Bastia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTWT
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
20.09.24	Martigues - Grenoble	0:4 ✺
13.09.24	Pau - Martigues	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Martigues - Bastia	0:1 ✺
23.08.24	Annecy - Martigues	2:4 ✺
19.08.24	Martigues - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLLWL

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