Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free


	Ajaccio		Martigues

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	4.5	Watch
	1.95	3	4.33
	1.95	3.1	4.33
	1.98	3.17	4.76
	1.95	3.18	4.18	Watch
	1.91	3.1	4.2
	1.95	3.2	4.4	Watch
	1.93	3.05	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↑ (1.84)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	4.39 ↓ (5.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
48.3%

Draw
30.2%

Martigues
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.7%

30.1%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7%

29.5%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	0%	13.3%

Ajaccio - Martigues Predictions

Users Predictions: Ajaccio will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 88. Bamba A. 5. Vidal C. 43. Kouassi A. 11. Toure B. 6. Mangani T. (C) 25. Anziani J. 99. Santelli B. 22. Soumano M. 9. Ibayi C.	30. Aymes J. (G) 34. Gautier L. 24. Morante L. 5. Falette S. 18. Amraoui A. 3. Solvet S. 23. Siby M. 12. Robin M. 10. Tlili K. 29. Mendy O. 41. Bamba M.
Substitutes
. Beltaief Z. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 35. Khelifa A. 1. Michel M. (G) 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 23. Strata T. 7. Touzghar Y.	22. Djaha A. 20. Etile Y. (G) 21. Hadjem Y. 27. Ipiele A. 19. Ouotro P. 39. Saintini N. 8. Zouaoui I.
Coaches
Chabert M.	Laurey T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 1 - 0, Ibayi C. ⚽, Kouassi A. (A),
24', 🟨,
36', 🟨,
40', Santelli B. 🟥,
40', 🟨,
45', 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Mendy O. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mendy O. ↓, Ipiele A. ↑,
55', Youssouf M. 🟨,
60', Toure B. ↓, Touzghar Y. ↑,
66', Tlili K. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
67', Bamba M. 🟨,
71', Mangani T. ↓, Puch-Herrantz M. ↑,
73', Kouassi A. 🟥,
75', Ibayi C. ↓, Junior Pereira da Silva E. ↑,
75', Soumano M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
76', Bamba M. ↓, Hadjem Y. ↑,
84', Solvet S. ↓, Zouaoui I. ↑,
84', Gautier L. ↓, Saintini N. ↑,
87', Ouotro P. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Recent matches Ajaccio is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Martigues has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ajaccio is a favorite.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Ayessa J. (Yellow Cards) Jabol-Folcarelli T. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Barreto M. (Injury) Huard M. (Ankle Injury) Kante A. (Injury) Toure A. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
27.09.24	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
24.09.24	Ajaccio - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
20.09.24	Caen - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
13.09.24	Laval - Ajaccio	1:1 ✺
30.08.24	Ajaccio - Troyes	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLTW
- FC Martigues
French Ligue 2
27.09.24	Martigues - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	Metz - Martigues	6:0 ✺
20.09.24	Martigues - Grenoble	0:4 ✺
13.09.24	Pau - Martigues	3:0 ✺
30.08.24	Martigues - Bastia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

Ajaccio - Martigues: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide