Match Info

Date: 3 April 2021, Saturday


	Clermont		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.28	5.5	12	Watch
	1.28	5.25	9
	1.26	5.3	11	Watch
	1.28	5	8.8
	1.3	5.46	11.38
	1.27	5.25	12	Watch
	1.31	5.5	9.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.38)	5.32 ↑ (4.58)	10.54 ↑ (8.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Clermont
73.4%

Draw
17.7%

Niort
8.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.1%

20.5%

11.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

12.1%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Clermont's performance.

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-33.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Clermont that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niort could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	3.1%	28.1%

Clermont - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Clermont will win (votes: 22 - 68.8%). Niort will win (votes: 9 - 28.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Clermont: 52.7% – 84.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion to Ligue 1 (Promotion) and 13).

Clermont has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of promoted (83%), has a good chance of win league (51%).

Niort has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Clermont is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Niort is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Clermont is the unquestionable favorite.

In this match Clermont is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Clermont won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
20.03.21	Nancy - Clermont	1:0 ✺
02.03.21	Guingamp - Clermont	0:5 ✺
27.02.21	Clermont - Valenciennes	4:0 ✺
20.02.21	Ajaccio - Clermont	0:2 ✺
13.02.21	Clermont - Chambly	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWW
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
20.03.21	Niort - Toulouse	1:0 ✺
13.03.21	Dunkerque - Niort	2:0 ✺
02.03.21	Niort - Sochaux	1:3 ✺
27.02.21	Grenoble - Niort	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Niort - Pau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
01.12.20	Niort - Clermont	1:0
29.11.19	Clermont - Niort	1:0
11.01.19	Clermont - Niort	3:2
03.08.18	Niort - Clermont	4:2
06.04.18	Clermont - Niort	2:2
03.11.17	Niort - Clermont	1:1
17.03.17	Clermont - Niort	0:1

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