Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Stade de Roudourou (Guingamp)

Referee: Petit A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guingamp		Clermont

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.9	5	Watch
	1.68	3.7	4.65
	1.7	3.99	5.22
	1.72	3.68	4.32	Watch
	1.68	3.72	4.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)	3.8 ↑ (3.68)	4.83 ↑ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guingamp
55.8%

Draw
24.8%

Clermont
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

25.1%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

24.6%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Clermont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Guingamp - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Clermont will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Guingamp: 40% – 93.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Guingamp (1.16) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Clermont (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Clermont will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Guingamp (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Clermont (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bartouche-Selbonne T. (G) 2. Koffi E. 7. Gomis D. 22. Sissoko A. 23. Ourega D. 11. Sagna A. 8. Sidibe K. 4. Louiserre D. (C) 20. Hatchi J. 10. Hemia A. 9. Mafouta L.	30. Guivarch T. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 28. M'Bahia I. 21. Salmier Y. (C) 97. Boto K. 13. Astic J. 25. Gastien J. 7. Camblan A. 44. Ackra A. 29. Fakili I. 94. Socka Bongue L.
Substitutes
39. Ahile T. 36. Demouchy A. 27. Kielt S. 40. Marec N. (G) 3. Matumona J. 6. N'Landu D. 24. Ott G.	32. Bamba K. 24. Berkani S. 17. Diop O. 23. Hunou A. 1. N'Diaye M. (G) 12. Nsimba V. 10. Saivet H.
Coaches
Ripoll S.	Proment G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Gomis D. 🟨,
39', Konate C. O. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
47', 0 - 1, Fakili I. ⚽, Gastien J. (A),
53', Sagna A. ↓, Ott G. ↑,
53', Hatchi J. ↓, Kielt S. ↑,
60', Astic J. ↓, Hunou A. ↑,
64', Gastien J. 🟨,
66', Sissoko A. 🟨,
69', Gastien J. ↓, Saivet H. ↑,
69', Fakili I. ↓, Bamba K. ↑,
71', Louiserre D. ↓, N'Landu D. ↑,
71', Koffi E. ↓, Demouchy A. ↑,
77', Sidibe K. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
85', Ackra A. 🟨,
86', Camblan A. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
86', Boto K. ↓, Nsimba V. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 1.

Guingamp has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Clermont is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Guingamp is the team to beat.

There will not play in Guingamp: Mbemba F. (Inactive) Nair S. (Ankle Injury) Ortola A. (Elbow Injury) Planeix I. (Inactive)

There will not play in Clermont: Astic J. (Injury) Diedhiou F. (Inactive) Donavin M. (Inactive) Douane M. (Knee Injury)

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.4:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Guingamp - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 53.6%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EA Guingamp
French Ligue 2
17.10.25	Boulogne - Guingamp	2:2 ✺
03.10.25	Guingamp - Nancy	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Saint-Étienne - Guingamp	2:3 ✺
23.09.25	Guingamp - Dunkerque	2:1 ✺
20.09.25	Troyes - Guingamp	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 TTWWL
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
17.10.25	Clermont - Annecy	0:1 ✺
03.10.25	Pau - Clermont	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	Clermont - Le Mans	1:1 ✺
23.09.25	Reims - Clermont	4:1 ✺
19.09.25	Rodez - Clermont	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.03.25	Guingamp - Clermont	3:1
05.10.24	Clermont - Guingamp	4:1
02.03.21	Guingamp - Clermont	0:5
07.11.20	Clermont - Guingamp	0:0
25.10.19	Guingamp - Clermont	1:2
06.04.13	Guingamp - Clermont	0:0
02.11.12	Clermont - Guingamp	1:2

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