Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2024, Friday

Location: Michel Moretti Stadium (Ajaccio)

Referee: Gaillouste P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Ajaccio		Clermont

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.63	Watch
	3	2.85	2.55
	3	2.85	2.6
	3.09	2.88	2.72
	3	2.88	2.6	Watch
	3	2.9	2.5
	3.02	2.98	2.6	Watch
	3	2.85	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.41)	2.88 ↓ (2.99)	2.6 ↓ (3.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajaccio
31.2%

Draw
32.6%

Clermont
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

32.8%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajaccio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ajaccio's form might have worsened.

Clermont has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Clermont's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajaccio than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ajaccio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Clermont than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Clermont, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.6%	44.8%	27.6%

Ajaccio - Clermont Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Ajaccio will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Clermont will win (votes: 8 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 46.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 27.9% – 64.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sollacaro F. (G) 20. Youssouf M. 31. Ayessa J. 88. Bamba A. 12. Huard M. 4. Barreto M. (C) 26. Jabol-Folcarelli T. 17. Junior Pereira da Silva E. 22. Soumano M. 11. Toure B. 9. Ibayi C.	1. N'Diaye M. (G) 15. Konate C. O. 12. Da Silva D. 97. Jacquet J. 31. Diallo B. 26. Bassouamina M. 6. Keita H. 25. Gastien J. (C) 11. Douane M. 10. Saivet H. 18. Diedhiou F.
Substitutes
25. Anziani J. 6. Mangani T. 8. Puch-Herrantz M. 30. Quilichini G. (G) 23. Strata T. 7. Touzghar Y. 5. Vidal C.	44. Ackra A. 22. Armougom Y. 77. Baaloudj M. 17. Diop O. 30. Guivarch T. (G) 7. Magnin Y. 20. Mwimba J.
Coaches
Chabert M.	Batlles L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Barreto M. ↓, Anziani J. ↑,
37', Jacquet J. 🟨,
38', Sollacaro F. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', Da Silva D. 🟨,
48', 1 - 0, Anziani J. ⚽,
63', Soumano M. ↓, Strata T. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Strata T. ⚽, Ibayi C. (A),
70', Keita H. ↓, Magnin Y. ↑,
70', Diallo B. ↓, Armougom Y. ↑,
70', Bassouamina M. ↓, Baaloudj M. ↑,
73', Toure B. 🟨,
78', Bamba A. ↓, Vidal C. ↑,
78', Ibayi C. ↓, Touzghar Y. ↑,
82', Douane M. ↓, Diop O. ↑,
90+1', Saivet H. ↓, Ackra A. ↑,
90+1', Junior Pereira da Silva E. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 1.

Ajaccio is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Clermont is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Ajaccio: Kouassi A. (Red Card)

There will not play in Clermont: Fakili I. (Ankle Injury) Inchaud M. (Broken ankle)

There are questionable in Ajaccio: Touzghar Y. (Injury)

Last 16 head-to-head matches Ajaccio won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 18:20 (average 1.1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Ajaccio won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:12 (average 1.2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Ajaccio
French Ligue 2
04.11.24	Ajaccio - Metz	0:1 ✺
29.10.24	Guingamp - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
19.10.24	Amiens - Ajaccio	3:1 ✺
05.10.24	Ajaccio - Martigues	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Lorient - Ajaccio	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLTL
- Clermont Foot
French Ligue 2
01.11.24	Clermont - Lorient	2:1 ✺
29.10.24	Laval - Clermont	1:2 ✺
25.10.24	Clermont - Martigues	0:1 ✺
18.10.24	Bastia - Clermont	0:0 ✺
05.10.24	Clermont - Guingamp	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
02.04.23	Clermont - Ajaccio	2:1
02.10.22	Ajaccio - Clermont	1:3
French Ligue 2
20.02.21	Ajaccio - Clermont	0:2
24.10.20	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:2
22.11.19	Ajaccio - Clermont	1:1
19.04.19	Clermont - Ajaccio	0:0
23.11.18	Ajaccio - Clermont	0:0

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