Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 33

Date: 29 April 2023, Saturday

Location: Stade des Alpes (Grenoble)

Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Grenoble		Niort

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.6	5	Watch
	1.73	3.6	4.6
	1.7	3.55	4.75
	1.78	3.64	5.06
	1.73	3.4	4.8
	1.73	3.64	4.9	Watch
	1.74	3.65	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2)	3.58 ↑ (3.01)	4.83 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grenoble
54.3%

Draw
26.3%

Niort
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

30.7%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.8%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grenoble has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grenoble's performance.

Niort has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grenoble than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grenoble that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niort than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84%	4%	12%

Grenoble - Niort Predictions

Users Predictions: Grenoble will win (21 of 25 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.63% – 98.37%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ National).

Grenoble has the most likely position - 8 (25.28%), project points - 55, currently - 47, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (79.04%), project points - 32, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of promoted.

This event has small quality 25, very small importance 1, small match rating 13. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 2.

Recent matches Grenoble is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Niort is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Grenoble is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Grenoble won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Grenoble won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grenoble Foot 38
French Ligue 2
24.04.23	Bordeaux - Grenoble	3:0 ✺
17.04.23	Grenoble - Saint-Étienne	0:2 ✺
08.04.23	Laval - Grenoble	0:1 ✺
01.04.23	Grenoble - Amiens	2:1 ✺
18.03.23	Sochaux - Grenoble	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWWL
- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
22.04.23	Niort - Caen	1:2 ✺
15.04.23	Valenciennes - Niort	0:0 ✺
08.04.23	Niort - Sochaux	0:3 ✺
01.04.23	Saint-Étienne - Niort	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Niort - Laval	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.10.22	Niort - Grenoble	0:3
15.02.22	Grenoble - Niort	1:0
14.08.21	Niort - Grenoble	1:0
27.02.21	Grenoble - Niort	1:1
15.12.20	Niort - Grenoble	0:0
14.02.20	Grenoble - Niort	3:1
13.09.19	Niort - Grenoble	0:1

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