Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 2 - ROUND 17

Date: 30 December 2022, Friday

Location: Stade René Gaillard (Niort)

Referee: Bollengier M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Niort		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	2.7	Watch
	2.45	3	2.95
	2.48	2.95	3.05
	2.47	3	2.85
	2.69	2.91	3.15
	2.55	2.88	2.9	Watch
	2.53	3	3.02	Watch
	2.55	3.05	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (2.52)	2.97 ↓ (3.09)	2.93 ↑ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niort
36.9%

Draw
31.3%

Pau
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.9%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niort has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24%	56%	20%

Niort - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Niort will win (votes: 6 - 24%). Pau will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 14 - 56%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 36.5% – 75.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 12).

Niort has the most likely position - 20 (45.2%), has project points - 35, has currently - 13, has a good chance of relegated (82%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pau has the most likely position - 14 (7.65%), has project points - 48, has currently - 21, has a chance of relegated (21%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has small quality 25, importance 37, match rating 31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Niort is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Niort have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Niort won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Niort won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chamois Niortais FC
French Ligue 2
26.12.22	Metz - Niort	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.12.22	Angers - Niort	0:1 ✺
07.12.22	Estrela da Amadora - Niort	1:2 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.22	Bergerac Périgord - Niort	0:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Niort - Nîmes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 TWWWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
26.12.22	Pau - Paris FC	0:1 ✺
Coupe De France
19.11.22	Colomiers - Pau	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
12.11.22	Bordeaux - Pau	1:1 ✺
05.11.22	Pau - Amiens	2:1 ✺
Coupe De France
29.10.22	Salinières Aigues Mortes - Pau	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
07.05.22	Pau - Niort	2:2
21.12.21	Niort - Pau	3:0
20.02.21	Niort - Pau	2:1
24.10.20	Pau - Niort	4:1

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