The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club Almagro 23.7%
Draw 37.6%
Deportivo Morón 38.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.1%
32%
35.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.4%
32.3%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club Almagro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Club Almagro's form might have worsened.
Deportivo Morón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Almagro than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Club Almagro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Morón than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Club Almagro - Deportivo Morón Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez E. (C) 4. Asis G. 2. Cortave M. 6. Marco F. 3. Silcan E. 8. Macies T. 5. Marchioni J. 7. Palacio P. 10. Bustamante F. 11. Bustos J. 9. Benegas M.
1. Salva J. (G) 4. Flores F. 2. Salvareschi B. 6. Vazquez F. 3. Livera J. 5. Burruchaga M. 7. Berterame G. 8. Kubiszyn S. 10. Olivares J. 11. Bittolo M. (C) 9. Toloza F.
Substitutes
13. Blanco 20. Canale T. 17. Fernandes J. 14. Flores 18. Martinez E. 19. Orlando J. 15. Tolosa N. 16. Ubeda S. 12. Zozaya J. P. (G)
17. Benitez M. 20. Bulacio D. . Contreras E. 12. Diaz F. (G) . Fagundez F. 18. Gonzalez G. 15. Lauro T. . Ramirez T. 14. Vaquero I. M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Bustos J. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
11', 1 - 0, Martinez E. ⚽, Palacio P. (A),
13', Marco F. 🟨,
19', Toloza F. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
34', Olivares J. 🟨,
40', Silcan E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vazquez F. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
46', Berterame G. ↓, Ramirez T. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Benegas M. ⚽,
57', Bittolo M. ↓, Bulacio D. ↑,
64', Macies T. ↓, Fernandes J. ↑,
67', Ramirez T. 🟨,
72', Benegas M. ↓, Orlando J. ↑,
72', Bustamante F. ↓, Tolosa N. ↑,
72', Flores F. ↓, Contreras E. ↑,
74', Martinez E. 🟨,
90+3', Palacio P. 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 2.
In recent matches, Almagro has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Deportivo Morón is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Morón could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Almagro won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Almagro won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
Watch
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Gonzalez E. (C) 
Blanco 
Fagundez F. 
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