Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Jan Breydel Stadion (Brugge)

Referee: Guida M. (Ita)

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	Club Brugge		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.6	2.5
	2.7	3.8	2.35
	2.7	3.7	2.52
	2.78	3.8	2.54
	2.6	3.84	2.59	Watch
	2.6	3.5	2.5
	2.72	3.8	2.6
	2.6	3.6	2.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.55)	3.71 ↑ (3.66)	2.52 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Brugge
36%

Draw
25.9%

Olympique Marseille
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

26.4%

35.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.3%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Brugge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Brugge than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.1%	19%	42.9%

Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Brugge will win (votes: 15 - 37.5%). Marseille will win (votes: 17 - 42.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marseille: 27.2% – 57.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Marseille (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Marseille (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Marseille (1.52) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 88.9%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 4 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Marseille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Brugge (votes: 3 - 15%). Marseille (votes: 13 - 65%). Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mignolet S. (G) 64. Sabbe K. 4. Ordonez J. 44. Mechele B. 65. Seys J. 15. Onyedika R. 25. Stankovic A. 20. Vanaken H. (C) 9. Forbs C. 17. Vermant R. 67. Diakhon M.	1. Rulli G. (G) 62. Murillo M. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 21. Aguerd N. 22. Weah T. 23. Hojbjerg P. 19. Kondogbia G. 32. Medina F. 10. Greenwood M. 9. Gouiri A. 20. Traore H. J.
Substitutes
84. Campbell S. 29. Jackers N. (G) 14. Meijer B. 6. Reis L. 11. Sandra C. 41. Siquet H. 58. Spileers J. 7. Tresoldi N. 8. Tzolis C. 10. Vetlesen H.	97. Aubameyang P. 50. Bakola D. 12. De Lange J. (G) 4. Egan-Riley C. 8. Gomes A. 26. Nadir B. 17. O'Riley M. 14. Paixao I. 40. Van Neck J. (G) 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Leko I.	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Diakhon M. ⚽, Stankovic A. (A),
11', 2 - 0, Vermant R. ⚽, Stankovic A. (A),
22', Murillo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Traore H. J. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
50', Vanaken H. 🟨,
53', Murillo M. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
69', Diakhon M. ↓, Tzolis C. ↑,
72', Ordonez J. ↓, Spileers J. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Stankovic A. ⚽, Forbs C. (A),
80', Gouiri A. 🟨,
85', Sabbe K. ↓, Siquet H. ↑,
85', Vermant R. ↓, Tresoldi N. ↑,
85', Stankovic A. ↓, Vetlesen H. ↑,
86', Gouiri A. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
87', Kondogbia G. ↓, O'Riley M. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Brugge: Audoor L. (Muscle Injury) Tzolis C. (Injury) van den Heuvel D. (Injury)

There will not play in Marseille: Emerson (Thigh Injury) Maupay N. (Inactive) Pavard B. (Yellow Cards) Vermot T. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Marseille: Nadir B. (Illness)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
24	Club Brugge KV	1	0	0	1	2:3	-1	0

Last Results with these Odds

Club Brugge - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 37.96%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Brugge
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
24.01.26	Club Brugge - Zulte Waregem	4:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Kairat - Club Brugge	1:4 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.01.26	Club Brugge - RAAL La Louvière	2:3 ✺
Belgian Cup
13.01.26	Charleroi - Club Brugge	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
08.01.26	Club Brugge - Sturm Graz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WWLLT
- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Angers - Olympique Marseille	2:5 ✺
Coupe De France
13.01.26	Bayeux - Olympique Marseille	0:9 ✺
French Super Cup
08.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 WLWWL

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