What is the expert prediction for Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Paris Saint-Germain vs Olympique Marseille Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, February 08, 2026)

Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris)

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Caze TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	FOX One
Moldova	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	Viaplay
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 1
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 2
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6	Watch
	1.44	4.95	6.4	Watch
	1.45	5.25	6.5
	1.47	5.27	6.28	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5.75
	1.46	5.14	6.49	Watch
	1.46	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	5.03 ↑ (4.99)	6.2 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
65.7%

Draw
19%

Olympique Marseille
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

19.8%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	17.6%	14.7%

banner

Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - PSG (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.25 - Marseille (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Marseille (5.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Marseille (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Marseille (2.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Marseille (votes: 5 - 55.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 17. Vitinha 24. Mayulu S. 87. Neves J. 14. Doue D. 10. Dembele O. 29. Barcola B.	12. De Lange J. (G) 28. Pavard B. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 32. Medina F. 22. Weah T. 27. Timber Q. 23. Hojbjerg P. 33. Emerson 11. Nwaneri E. 10. Greenwood M. 9. Gouiri A.
Substitutes
4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 27. Fernandez D. 21. Hernandez L. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 19. Lee Kang-In 49. Mbaye I. 9. Ramos G. 6. Zabarnyi I.	8. Abdelli H. 17. Aubameyang P. 4. Egan-Riley C. 19. Kondogbia G. 26. Nadir B. 14. Paixao I. 1. Rulli G. (G) 20. Traore H. J. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Vitinha 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Mayulu S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nwaneri E. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
59', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
62', Pavard B. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
62', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Medina F. (Own goal),
66', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
68', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
74', 5 - 0, Lee Kang-In ⚽, Mayulu S. (A),
75', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
75', Mayulu S. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
75', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
80', Greenwood M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
82', Emerson 🟨,
90+1', Balerdi L. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4.

PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:12. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:7. (average 2.5:0.6).

banner

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 95.98% Marseille: 0.42%

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	27	20	3	4	61:23	38	63
3	Marseille	29	16	4	9	58:38	20	52

Last Results with these Odds

Paris Saint-Germain - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 66.64%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.01.26	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLW
- Olympique Marseille
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Super Cup
08.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
22.09.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0
16.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:1
27.10.24	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
31.03.24	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	4:0
26.02.23	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3

Upcoming Matches