Match Info

Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parc des Princes (Paris) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv Football, SuperSport MaXimo 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 2
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD
Austria	20:45	DAZN
Azerbaijan	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Bosnia And Herzegovina	20:45	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	16:45	Caze TV
Bulgaria	21:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	16:45	Disney+
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	20:45	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 2 Baltic
Finland	21:45	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	20:45	DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Iran	23:15	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	21:45	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	20:45	Ligue 1+, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 2
Kenya	22:45	Gotv
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Kyrgyzstan	01:45	Setanta Sports 2
Mexico	13:45	FOX One
Moldova	21:45	Setanta Sports 2
Netherlands	20:45	Viaplay
Nigeria	20:45	Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 5 Norte
Norway	20:45	Viaplay
Peru	14:45	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV3
Russia	22:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	20:45	Arena Sport 2
South Africa	21:45	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Variety 4
South America	—	ESPN South
South Korea	04:45	Coupang Play
Sweden	20:45	Viaplay
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Turkey	22:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Turkmenistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Ukraine	21:45	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	19:45	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN, Ligue 1+
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
Uzbekistan	00:45	Setanta Sports 2
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
International	19:45	Onefootball


	Paris Saint-Germain		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	1.44	5	6	Watch
	1.44	4.95	6.4	Watch
	1.45	5.25	6.5
	1.47	5.27	6.28	Watch
	1.44	4.6	5.75
	1.46	5.14	6.49	Watch
	1.46	5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.41)	5.03 ↑ (4.99)	6.2 ↓ (6.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paris Saint-Germain
65.7%

Draw
19%

Olympique Marseille
15.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.6%

18.8%

14.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

19%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paris Saint-Germain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.6%	17.6%	14.7%

Paris Saint Germain - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. PSG will win (votes: 22 - 66.7%). Marseille will win (votes: 5 - 15.2%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 50.6% – 82.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - PSG (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.5 - Marseille (5.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Marseille (2.72) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. PSG (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Marseille (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Safonov M. (G) 33. Zaire-Emery W. 5. Marquinhos (C) 51. Pacho W. 25. Mendes N. 17. Vitinha 24. Mayulu S. 87. Neves J. 14. Doue D. 10. Dembele O. 29. Barcola B.	12. De Lange J. (G) 28. Pavard B. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 32. Medina F. 22. Weah T. 27. Timber Q. 23. Hojbjerg P. 33. Emerson 11. Nwaneri E. 10. Greenwood M. 9. Gouiri A.
Substitutes
4. Beraldo L. 30. Chevalier L. (G) 27. Fernandez D. 21. Hernandez L. 7. Kvaratskhelia K. 19. Lee Kang-In 49. Mbaye I. 9. Ramos G. 6. Zabarnyi I.	8. Abdelli H. 17. Aubameyang P. 4. Egan-Riley C. 19. Kondogbia G. 26. Nadir B. 14. Paixao I. 1. Rulli G. (G) 20. Traore H. J. 18. Vermeeren A.
Coaches
Luis Enrique	De Zerbi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Vitinha 🟨,
12', 1 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Mendes N. (A),
37', 2 - 0, Dembele O. ⚽, Mayulu S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Nwaneri E. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
59', Zaire-Emery W. 🟨,
62', Pavard B. ↓, Abdelli H. ↑,
62', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
64', 3 - 0, Medina F. (Own goal),
66', 4 - 0, Kvaratskhelia K. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
68', Barcola B. ↓, Lee Kang-In ↑,
74', 5 - 0, Lee Kang-In ⚽, Mayulu S. (A),
75', Zaire-Emery W. ↓, Hernandez L. ↑,
75', Mayulu S. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
75', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
80', Greenwood M. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
82', Emerson 🟨,
90+1', Balerdi L. 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PSG won 4.

PSG is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Marseille's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Marseille may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, PSG is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PSG won 15 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:12. (average 2.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, PSG won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 28:7. (average 2.5:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	8	5	2	1	16:9	7	17
8	Marseille	8	4	0	4	18:13	5	12

Outrights of French Ligue 1 for now

PSG: 79.11% Marseille: 0.82%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1
01.02.26	Strasbourg - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Newcastle United	1:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
23.01.26	Auxerre - Paris Saint-Germain	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
20.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Paris Saint-Germain	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
16.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Lille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWLW
- Olympique Marseille
Coupe De France
03.02.26	Olympique Marseille - Rennes	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
31.01.26	Paris FC - Olympique Marseille	2:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
28.01.26	Club Brugge - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 1
24.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Lens	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
21.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Liverpool	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

French Super Cup
08.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:2 penalties
French Ligue 1
22.09.25	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:0
16.03.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:1
27.10.24	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3
31.03.24	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2
24.09.23	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	4:0
26.02.23	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3

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