Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 7

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade Vélodrome (Marseille) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Vincic S. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2, DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	Tring Sport 2, Vizion+
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Canal+
Azerbaijan	00:00	Ictimai TV
Belgium	21:00	Pickx+ Sports 3, Pickx+ Sports 3, Play Sports 1, Play Sports 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Voyo
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, HRT 2, HRTi, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1, V Sport Premium
France	21:00	CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Universal
Germany	21:00	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 2
Haiti	15:00	Tele Haiti
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN Sports 3
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
India	01:30	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Sony Sports TEN 3, Sony Sports TEN 4
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253, TV8
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTK 1
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Canal+ Sport 1
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 7
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport Football Plus, Supersport Maximo 1
North Central America	—	RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North Macedonia	21:00	TDM Desporto
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Peru	15:00	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1, RTS 1
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South Africa	22:00	Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South America	—	ESPN 5 South, Space Latin America, ViX Latin America
South Korea	05:00	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime 2
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 4, Blue Sport D1, Blue Sport D1, Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF 2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	04:00	ELTA Sports 3
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 1, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus, TV 360
International	20:00	Sport 24 Extra, VIX App


	Olympique Marseille		Liverpool

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.9	1.85
	3.8	4.1	1.88
	3.82	4	1.9
	3.8	3.96	1.94	Watch
	3.7	3.8	1.85
	3.68	4.02	1.96
	3.6	4	1.92
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.72)	3.97 ↓ (4.05)	1.9 (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olympique Marseille
25.6%

Draw
24.1%

Liverpool
50.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.8%

23.7%

50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23.2%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olympique Marseille has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.1%	32.1%	51.8%

Olympique Marseille - Liverpool Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Marseille will win (votes: 9 - 16.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 29 - 53.7%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 29.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 40.4% – 67%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Liverpool (votes: 11 - 57.9%). Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Liverpool (1.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Marseille (votes: 3 - 15%). Liverpool (votes: 12 - 60%). Tie (votes: 5 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rulli G. (G) 62. Murillo M. 28. Pavard B. 5. Balerdi L. (C) 32. Medina F. 22. Weah T. 23. Hojbjerg P. 19. Kondogbia G. 20. Traore H. J. 9. Gouiri A. 10. Greenwood M.	1. Alisson (G) 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 38. Gravenberch R. 10. Mac Allister A. 11. Salah M. 22. Ekitike H. 7. Wirtz F.
Substitutes
97. Aubameyang P. 50. Bakola D. 12. De Lange J. (G) 70. Doubal A. 4. Egan-Riley C. 8. Gomes A. 76. Mmadi T. 26. Nadir B. 17. O'Riley M. 14. Paixao I. 40. Van Neck J. (G) 18. Vermeeren A.	14. Chiesa F. 3. Endo W. 18. Gakpo C. 17. Jones C. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T. 26. Robertson A. 28. Woodman F. (G)
Coaches
De Zerbi R.	Slot A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+1', 0 - 1, Szoboszlai D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', Pavard B. 🟨,
67', Gouiri A. ↓, Aubameyang P. ↑,
68', Traore H. J. ↓, Paixao I. ↑,
68', Kondogbia G. ↓, Nadir B. ↑,
72', 0 - 2, Rulli G. (Own goal), Frimpong J. (A),
79', Wirtz F. ↓, Jones C. ↑,
79', Ekitike H. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
90+3', 0 - 3, Gakpo C. ⚽, Gravenberch R. (A),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Marseille has had a series of away games.

Liverpool could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Marseille: Maupay N. (Inactive) Vermot T. (Inactive)

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Isak A. (Broken Leg) Konate I. (Personal Reasons) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury) Williams R. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Marseille: Aguerd N. (Rest) Pavard B. (Injury)

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	5	9

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Liverpool: 3.78%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olympique Marseille
French Ligue 1
17.01.26	Angers - Olympique Marseille	2:5 ✺
Coupe De France
13.01.26	Bayeux - Olympique Marseille	0:9 ✺
French Super Cup
08.01.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Olympique Marseille	3:2 penalties ✺
French Ligue 1
04.01.26	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	0:2 ✺
Coupe De France
21.12.25	Bourg-Péronnas - Olympique Marseille	0:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWLLW
- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
17.01.26	Liverpool - Burnley	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.01.26	Liverpool - Barnsley	4:1 ✺
English Premier League
08.01.26	Arsenal - Liverpool	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Fulham - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
01.01.26	Liverpool - Leeds United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWTTT

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