Match Info

Date: 24 February 2020, Monday


	Club General Díaz		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.4	2.62	Watch
	2.4	3.2	2.7
	2.45	3.15	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.09	2.63
	2.58	3.24	2.85
	2.45	3.3	2.7
	2.48	3.42	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.3)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	2.7 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club General Díaz
37.7%

Draw
28.3%

Guaireña
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.8%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

19.5%

46.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club General Díaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Guaireña has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Club General Díaz than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Club General Díaz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guaireña could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Club General Díaz - Guaireña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club General Díaz
Paraguayan Primera Division
16.02.20	Sol de América - Club General Díaz	3:1 ✺
10.02.20	Club General Díaz - Sportivo Luqueño	1:3 ✺
02.02.20	River Plate Montevideo - Club General Díaz	3:2 ✺
24.01.20	Club General Díaz - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
19.01.20	Olimpia Asuncion - Club General Díaz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.02.20	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	2:2 ✺
07.02.20	Guaireña - Sol de América	2:0 ✺
31.01.20	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaireña	1:1 ✺
25.01.20	Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
18.01.20	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Copa Paraguay
13.08.19	Guaireña - Club General Díaz	1:0

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