Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 5

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Lopez J. (Par)


	Nacional Asuncion		Guaireña

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.25
	1.55	3.5	5.25
	1.58	3.55	5.4
	1.62	3.87	6.21
	1.62	3.3	5
	1.58	3.72	5.75
	1.6	3.75	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.68)	3.61 ↓ (3.61)	5.47 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional Asuncion
57.8%

Draw
25.4%

Guaireña
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

25.8%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

25.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Espinola H. (G) 2. Cabrera R. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 3. Baez F. 6. Roman 33. Gaona Lugo O. 26. Alfaro J. 5. Orzusa E. 8. Velazco F. 11. Caballero G. 21. Aguilar G.	28. Finochietto L. (G) 3. Castellano T. 11. Martinez A. 6. Paniagua M. 23. Caceres E. 18. Acosta M. 24. Aguilar J. 25. Camisassa B. 26. Vazquez O. 37. Comas L. 7. Parzajuk K.
Substitutes
18. Blas Caceres 23. Espinola C. 7. Martinez M. 13. Meza L. 22. Nunez J. 28. Ocampos C. 12. Riveros C. (G)	22. Borja E. 10. Duarte C. 31. Franco Zayas A. F. 2. Gimenez A. 5. Gonzalez J. 12. Servin C. (G) 20. Toledo R.
Coaches
Sarabia P.	Theiler L.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 3.

Recent matches Nacional Asuncion is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Guaireña is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Nacional Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Nacional Asuncion have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional Asuncion is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Nacional Asuncion won 5 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 19-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Nacional Asuncion won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Copa Paraguay
20.07.23	Cristóbal Colón FC - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
17.07.23	Nacional Asuncion - Tacuary	1:1 ✺
07.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TWWTL
- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.07.23	Guaireña - Tacuary	1:2 ✺
24.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:3 ✺
17.07.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Cerro Porteño - Guaireña	1:3 ✺
09.06.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
11.04.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:2
28.01.23	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:3
27.10.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:0
26.08.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:3
01.07.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:1
20.04.22	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	3:1
Copa Sudamericana
17.03.22	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	0:0

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