Match Info

Date: 18 March 2021, Thursday


	Guaireña		River Plate Montevideo

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.1	3	Watch
	2.4	2.75	3.1
	2.2	3.1	3.05
	2.34	2.75	3.15
	2.48	2.82	3.48
	2.35	3	3.25
	2.4	2.92	3.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.25)	2.92 ↓ (3.12)	3.17 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaireña
39.3%

Draw
31.6%

River Plate Montevideo
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

29.4%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

22.5%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaireña has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

River Plate Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaireña than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaireña, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for River Plate Montevideo than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for River Plate Montevideo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Guaireña in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches River Plate is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Guaireña could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Guaireña will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Guaireña won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaireña won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaireña FC
Paraguayan Primera Division
14.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Guaireña	0:3 ✺
09.03.21	Guaireña - 12 de Octubre	0:0 ✺
05.03.21	River Plate Asunción - Guaireña	0:1 ✺
01.03.21	Guaireña - Nacional Asuncion	1:0 ✺
24.02.21	Guaireña - Libertad Asuncion	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 28.3 WTWWW
- River Plate Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
14.03.21	Liverpool Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	3:2 ✺
06.03.21	Peñarol de Montevideo - River Plate Montevideo	2:0 ✺
27.02.21	River Plate Montevideo - Montevideo Wanderers	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	River Plate Montevideo - Cerro Largo	2:0 ✺
17.02.21	River Plate Montevideo - Rentistas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
10.11.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña	1:2
12.08.20	River Plate Montevideo - Guaireña	2:1
25.01.20	Guaireña - River Plate Montevideo	2:0

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