The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Club León 23.6%
Draw 25.9%
Chivas Guadalajara 50.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
24.4%
26.3%
49.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.3%
25.4%
47.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-3%)
Club León - Chivas Guadalajara Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Acuna N. S. (G) 34. Aleman V. 8. Bravo L. R. (C) 14. Camargo A. 18. Carter T. 5. Diaz B. 20. Garcia L. 17. Pinilla F. 16. Rausch Tamayo M. A. 6. Sanchez M. 15. Soto K.
12. Felix Castro B. M. (C) 22. Castro D. 24. Cervantes A. 19. Delgado D. 15. Esquivias I. 11. Franco Y. 3. Godinez D. 8. Jaramillo C. 7. Montero C. 30. Salazar E. 17. Villarreal N.
Substitutes
24. Adu B. 27. Aleman I. 33. Barrientos Y. 1. Buenfil N. R. (G) 22. Cortes S. 9. Lema J. 12. Lien Le C. 4. Lozada A. 26. Ramirez A. 21. Villanueva A.
14. De La Rosa J. 1. Espino C. (G) 20. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 18. Hernandez D. 10. Iturbide A. 27. Lopez A. 21. Lopez S. 25. Montoya J. 13. Sandoval Trejo D. G. 9. Valenzuela G.
Coaches
Corona A.
Contreras A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Cervantes A. ⚽,
23', 1 - 1, Garcia L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Villarreal N. ↓, Valenzuela G. ↑,
46', Salazar E. ↓, Montoya J. ↑,
54', Aleman V. 🟨,
54', 🟨,
58', Carter T. ↓, Lien Le C. ↑,
67', Garcia L. ↓, Cortes S. ↑,
67', Rausch Tamayo M. A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
72', Delgado D. ↓, De La Rosa J. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, De La Rosa J. ⚽,
76', Camargo A. 🟨,
80', Aleman V. ↓, Villanueva A. ↑,
80', Diaz B. ↓, Barrientos Y. ↑,
85', Castro D. ↓, Iturbide A. ↑,
85', Godinez D. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 0.
León is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Guadalajara has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Guadalajara is the team to beat.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, León won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 14:38. (average 0.9:2.4).
Including home matches between the teams, León won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 1:2.1).