Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 17

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio León (León)

Referee: Hernandez Andrade K. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One, Fox Sports
South-america	ViX Latin America
World	VIX App


	Club León		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.8	3.75	Watch
	1.92	3.7	3.55	Watch
	1.97	3.74	3.76
	1.85	3.93	3.80	Watch
	1.88	3.65	3.74	Watch
	1.9	3.65	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.75 ↓ (3.76)	3.73 ↓ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club León
49.6%

Draw
25.1%

Puebla
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club León has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club León than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Club León - Puebla Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. León will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Puebla will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Garcia O. (G) 28. Ramirez D. 21. Barreiro S. 20. Echeverria R. 26. Reyes S. 7. Moreno I. 6. Beltran Cruz F. 4. Fonseca N. 11. Diaz I. 10. Rodriguez J. (C) 29. Alvarado A.	33. Rodriguez J. (G) 195. de la Rosa A. 7. Monarrez F. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 6. Diaz N. (C) 4. Orona E. 17. Lozano E. 32. Araos A. 24. Organista A. 27. Garnica B. 11. Gomez E.
Substitutes
25. Bellon P. 16. Cortizo J. 27. Estrada A. 2. Gauthier V. 241. Hernandez F. 12. Jimenez O. (G) 185. Mora C. 19. Rodriguez E. 31. Santos S. 33. Uribe H.	22. Baltazar C. 18. Gamarra P. 1. Gonzalez J. (G) 21. Gonzalez O. 15. Guerra E. 192. Navarro E. 25. Portales W. 8. Ramirez M. 3. Rey L. 30. Robles A.
Coaches
Ambriz I.	Cristante H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Organista A. ⚽, Monarrez F. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Moreno I. ⚽, Rodriguez J. (A),
30', Lozano E. 🟨,
33', Diaz N. 🟨,
41', 1 - 2, Gomez E. ⚽, Monarrez F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fonseca N. ↓, Bellon P. ↑,
46', Alvarado A. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
47', Bellon P. 🟨,
61', Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↓, Navarro E. ↑,
67', Organista A. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
67', Araos A. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
68', Reyes S. ↓, Cortizo J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez J. 🟨,
75', Moreno I. ↓, Hernandez F. ↑,
79', Garnica B. ↓, Guerra E. ↑,
79', Lozano E. ↓, Gonzalez O. ↑,
84', Rodriguez J. ↓, Estrada A. ↑,
90+5', de la Rosa A. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, León won 3.

León has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Puebla is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

León may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, León is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in León: Arcila D. (Leg Injury)

There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in León: Funes Mori R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Puebla: Fedorco J. (Ankle Injury) Moyano F. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, León won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 1.5:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, León won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club León
Mexican Liga MX
01.11.25	Club América - Club León	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Club León - UNAM	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Atlas - Club León	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Santos Laguna - Club León	2:0 ✺
04.10.25	Club León - Toluca	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
31.10.25	Puebla - Cruz Azul	0:3 ✺
24.10.25	Juárez - Puebla	4:4 ✺
21.10.25	Club América - Puebla	2:1 ✺
17.10.25	Puebla - Tijuana	4:3 ✺
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
12.04.25	Club León - Puebla	1:0
16.07.24	Puebla - Club León	2:2
16.03.24	Club León - Puebla	2:1
03.11.23	Puebla - Club León	5:4
14.02.23	Club León - Puebla	2:0
15.07.22	Puebla - Club León	1:1
16.04.22	Club León - Puebla	0:1

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