Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 17 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Olímpico Benito Juárez (Juárez)

Referee: Gomez H. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	fubo Sports Network
Mexico	Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One, FOX Sports
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Juárez		Puebla

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.90	4.75
	1.70	3.75	4.50
	1.60	4.10	4.80
	1.73	3.98	4.86
	1.68	4.01	4.79	Watch
	1.71	3.80	4.80
	1.72	3.95	4.81	Watch
	1.70	3.80	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.65)	3.91 ↓ (4.04)	4.74 ↓ (4.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juárez
55.9%

Draw
24.1%

Puebla
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

23.4%

19.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juárez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	10%	10%

Juárez - Puebla Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Juárez (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juárez will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jurado S. (C) 20. Aquino J. 3. Murillo J. 23. Ortega H. 4. Mayorga A. 15. Romero L. 6. Monchu 21. Ricardinho 8. Guilherme Castilho 9. Madson 19. Estupinan O.	28. Gutierrez D. (G) 12. Moreno I. 5. Almada F. 4. Vargas J. (C) 7. Monarrez F. 16. Ramirez A. 3. Herrera A. 19. Maestro I. 24. Organista A. 11. Gomez E. 26. Velasco K.
Substitutes
29. Ayon E. 201. Carmona J. 17. Dupuy L. 7. Fulgencio R. 5. Garcia D. 33. Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. 11. Rodriguez J. 27. Ruiz G. (G) 2. Sepulveda G. 10. Torres Ramirez I. J. M.	22. Baltazar C. 17. Castillo R. 2. Leyva A. 8. Moreno Villegas O. F. 29. Mustre E. 33. Rodriguez J. (G) 21. Sanabria S. 10. Tomas M. 15. Villa O.
Coaches
Caixinha P.	Espigares A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Romero L. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
11', 0 - 1, Maestro I. ⚽, Herrera A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ramirez A. ↓, Sanabria S. ↑,
46', Madson ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
58', Aquino J. ↓, Nevarez Pulgarin F. J. ↑,
58', Monchu ↓, Torres Ramirez I. J. M. ↑,
59', Estupinan O. ↓, Dupuy L. ↑,
64', Moreno I. 🟥,
66', Organista A. ↓, Leyva A. ↑,
69', Maestro I. 🟨,
74', Guilherme Castilho 🟨,
81', Maestro I. ↓, Mustre E. ↑,
87', Velasco K. ↓, Villa O. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 3.

Puebla may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Juárez is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Juárez: Lopez E. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Juárez: Romero B. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Puebla: Castillo R. (Broken Leg) Maestro I. (Ankle Injury) Velasco K. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Juárez won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.5:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Juárez won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Puebla	11	4	3	4	12:13	-1	15
18	Juarez	11	1	1	9	8:26	-18	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Juárez
Club Friendly
09.07.26	Colorado Rapids - Juárez	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
25.04.26	Juárez - Atlético San Luis	2:1 ✺
21.04.26	UNAM - Juárez	4:2 ✺
18.04.26	Club León - Juárez	3:1 ✺
10.04.26	Juárez - Tijuana	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLLL
- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
24.04.26	Puebla - Querétaro	1:2 ✺
21.04.26	Monterrey - Puebla	2:1 ✺
18.04.26	Chivas Guadalajara - Puebla	5:0 ✺
10.04.26	Puebla - Club León	0:1 ✺
03.04.26	Puebla - Juárez	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
03.04.26	Puebla - Juárez	1:1
24.10.25	Juárez - Puebla	4:4
29.03.25	Juárez - Puebla	2:0
27.09.24	Puebla - Juárez	2:3
23.03.24	Juárez - Puebla	4:3
25.08.23	Puebla - Juárez	1:0
31.03.23	Juárez - Puebla	0:2

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