Match Info

Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio Cuauhtémoc (Puebla)

Referee: Ortiz M. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Caliente TV, Fox Sports, Tubi TV
South-america	ViX Latin America
Usa	TUDN App, TUDN


	Puebla		Tijuana

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.3	3.05	Watch
	2.62	3.45	2.48
	2.42	3.41	3.13
	2.61	3.30	2.65	Watch
	2.55	3.52	2.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↓ (2.66)	3.4 ↓ (3.63)	2.76 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Puebla
37.8%

Draw
27.9%

Tijuana
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

25.9%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

26.4%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puebla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Tijuana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puebla than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tijuana than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	57.1%	42.9%

Puebla - Tijuana Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tijuana will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Puebla (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gonzalez J. (G) 195. de la Rosa A. 6. Diaz N. (C) 11. Gomez E. 15. Guerra E. 19. Marin R. 7. Monarrez F. 192. Navarro E. 24. Organista A. 4. Orona E. 3. Rey L.	2. Rodriguez A. (C) 17. Arciga R. 34. Boya F. 10. Castaneda K. 6. Gomez A. 3. Inzunza R. 19. Mora G. 12. Porozo J. 11. Preciado A. 8. Tona I. 16. Vega A.
Substitutes
32. Araos A. 22. Baltazar C. 206. Cortes J. 18. Gamarra P. 27. Garnica B. 17. Lozano E. 20. Pachuca Martinez J. R. 25. Portales W. 8. Ramirez M. 33. Rodriguez J. (G)	4. Bilbao U. 27. Blanco D. 20. Bullaude E. 15. Corona J. 21. El Ghezouani M. 5. Escamilla K. 29. Hernandez J. (G) 9. Nicholson S. 33. Ortiz Orozco P. N. 7. Vitinho
Coaches
Cristante H.	Abreu S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', Organista A. 🟨,
26', Monarrez F. (Pen),
2nd Half (4 - 3)
46', Preciado A. ↓, El Ghezouani M. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Castaneda K. (Pen),
58', Tona I. 🟨,
60', 0 - 2, Castaneda K. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
65', Guerra E. ↓, Araos A. ↑,
66', Monarrez F. ↓, Baltazar C. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Marin R. ⚽, Gomez E. (A),
68', Tona I. ↓, Escamilla K. ↑,
68', Boya F. ↓, Bilbao U. ↑,
68', Castaneda K. ↓, Blanco D. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, de la Rosa A. ⚽, Organista A. (A),
71', 2 - 3, El Ghezouani M. ⚽, Arciga R. (A),
78', Mora G. ↓, Bullaude E. ↑,
79', Organista A. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
83', 3 - 3, Baltazar C. ⚽,
87', Bullaude E. 🟨,
90+1', Navarro E. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 3, Baltazar C. ⚽, Marin R. (A),

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 3.

Puebla is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Tijuana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puebla FC
Mexican Liga MX
04.10.25	Querétaro - Puebla	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Puebla - Chivas Guadalajara	0:2 ✺
23.09.25	Puebla - Pachuca	2:2 ✺
19.09.25	Necaxa - Puebla	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Toluca - Puebla	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLTLL
- Club Tijuana
Mexican Liga MX
05.10.25	Tijuana - Monterrey	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Tijuana - Cruz Azul	2:0 ✺
24.09.25	Santos Laguna - Tijuana	1:0 ✺
19.09.25	Tijuana - Club León	5:0 ✺
Club Friendly
16.09.25	San Diego - Tijuana	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX
21.02.25	Puebla - Tijuana	2:0
10.11.24	Tijuana - Puebla	2:1
19.04.24	Tijuana - Puebla	3:1
01.09.23	Puebla - Tijuana	3:0
29.04.23	Puebla - Tijuana	5:2
12.08.22	Tijuana - Puebla	3:3
28.01.22	Puebla - Tijuana	3:1

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