Match Info

ARGENTINA: PRIMERA C - APERTURA - ROUND 12

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Club Luján		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.55
	2.95	2.75	2.45
	2.75	2.86	2.76
	2.71	2.92	2.67
	2.75	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↑ (2.61)	2.82 ↓ (2.84)	2.61 ↓ (2.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Club Luján
32.7%

Draw
32.3%

Sportivo Italiano
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

32.1%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

32.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Club Luján has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Club Luján than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 7 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 0.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Club Luján could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Club Luján won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 10-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Club Luján won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Luján
Argentinian Primera C
02.04.23	Berazategui - Club Luján	1:0 ✺
19.03.23	Club Luján - Real Pilar	4:0 ✺
15.03.23	Liniers - Club Luján	1:2 ✺
10.03.23	Club Luján - Central Córdoba de Rosario	1:0 ✺
04.03.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Club Luján	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 LWWWW
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera C
01.04.23	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
18.03.23	Sportivo Italiano - Central Córdoba de Rosario	2:2 ✺
15.03.23	Justo José de Urquiza - Sportivo Italiano	1:0 ✺
10.03.23	Sportivo Italiano - General Lamadrid	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
16.07.22	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	0:0
13.03.22	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
25.07.21	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	0:1
07.03.21	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	2:2
10.02.20	Sportivo Italiano - Club Luján	2:0
19.08.19	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	2:2
02.04.19	Club Luján - Sportivo Italiano	1:1

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