Match Info

Primera B - Round 24

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Juan Antonio Arias Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Liniers		Sportivo Italiano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.90	2.65	2.50
	2.88	2.75	2.48	Watch
	3.06	2.62	2.67
	2.98	2.64	2.64	Watch
	3.00	2.55	2.60
	3.07	2.86	2.54
	2.95	2.60	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.88)	2.67 ↓ (2.75)	2.57 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liniers
30.5%

Draw
34.1%

Sportivo Italiano
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

32.6%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

31.7%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Sportivo Italiano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Liniers - Sportivo Italiano Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sportivo Italiano will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rotundo M. (G) 3. Canosa J. 4. Di Motta R. (C) 2. Formichelli S. 10. Gallegos E. 9. Gauna B. 6. Lugarzo L. 5. Palacio S. 8. Penoni A. 11. Rodriguez C. 7. Sallaberry I.	1. Yordan G. (G) 4. Bifiguer C. 3. Fantino L. 10. Gimenez K. 8. Guerra A. 9. Guzman M. 11. Laborda L. 6. Merzario E. 7. Molina F. 2. Ordonez C. 5. Rivero J.
Substitutes
18. Auzqui D. 17. Camejo J. 19. Coria T. 12. De Feliche C. (G) 16. Fernandez G. 15. Fiordeliso M. 20. Linas M. 13. Pereyra E. 14. Tejada U.	12. Alastra A. (G) 18. Caceres P. 19. D'Acquila J. 14. Daivez A. 16. De Cuadro J. 13. Di Massimo F. 17. Fortino R. 15. Guzman L. 20. Hirigoyen T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 🟨,
11', 🟨,
23', 🟨,
26', 0 - 1, Guerra A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Gauna B. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
54', Sallaberry I. ↓, Fernandez G. ↑,
57', Gallegos E. 🟨,
71', Penoni A. ↓, Auzqui D. ↑,
72', Gallegos E. ↓, Coria T. ↑,
74', 🟨,
74', Molina F. 🟥,
78', Guerra A. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
85', Gimenez K. ↓, Fortino R. ↑,
88', 🟨,
90', Bifiguer C. ↓, Hirigoyen T. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
90+1', Lugarzo L. 🟥,
90+2', Guzman M. ↓, D'Acquila J. ↑,
90+2', Laborda L. ↓, De Cuadro J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 16 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 1.

Recent form of Liniers has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sportivo Italiano has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Liniers won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liniers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Sportivo Italiano	38	18	11	9	45:28	17	65
17	Liniers	38	10	13	15	31:39	-8	43

Last Results with these Odds

Liniers - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.17%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Sportivo Italiano - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.19%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	Liniers - Villa San Carlos	1:1 ✺
19.06.26	Ituzaingó - Liniers	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Liniers - Real Pilar	0:1 ✺
08.06.26	UAI Urquiza - Liniers	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTTLL
- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera B
05.07.26	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
28.06.26	UAI Urquiza - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
20.06.26	Villa Dálmine - Sportivo Italiano	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Sportivo Italiano - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
06.06.26	Arsenal Sarandí - Sportivo Italiano	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
27.02.26	Sportivo Italiano - Liniers	2:1
02.11.25	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	1:3
07.06.25	Sportivo Italiano - Liniers	2:0
22.09.24	Sportivo Italiano - Liniers	0:0
05.05.24	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	2:0
Argentinian Primera C
30.07.23	Sportivo Italiano - Liniers	1:0
26.03.23	Liniers - Sportivo Italiano	1:2

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